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A Copula Approach to the Problem of Selection Bias in Models of Government Survival
Chiba, Daina1; Martin, Lanny W.2; Stevenson, Randolph T.2
2015-01
Source PublicationPolitical Analysis
ISSN1047-1987
Volume23Issue:1Pages:42-58
Abstract

Theories of coalition politics in parliamentary democracies have suggested that government formation and survival are jointly determined outcomes. An important empirical implication of these theories is that the sample of observed governments analyzed in studies of government survival may be nonrandomly selected from the population of potential governments. This can lead to serious inferential problems. Unfortunately, current empirical models of government survival are unable to account for the possible biases arising from nonrandom selection. In this study, we use a copula-based framework to assess, and correct for, the dependence between the processes of government formation and survival. Our results suggest that existing studies of government survival, by ignoring the selection problem, overstate the substantive importance of several covariates commonly included in empirical models.

KeywordCoalition Government Duration Analysis
DOI10.1093/pan/mpu013
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS IDWOS:000350126900003
Scopus ID2-s2.0-84942111231
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF GOVERNMENT AND PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION
Corresponding AuthorMartin, Lanny W.
Affiliation1.University of Essex
2.Rice University
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Chiba, Daina,Martin, Lanny W.,Stevenson, Randolph T.. A Copula Approach to the Problem of Selection Bias in Models of Government Survival[J]. Political Analysis, 2015, 23(1), 42-58.
APA Chiba, Daina., Martin, Lanny W.., & Stevenson, Randolph T. (2015). A Copula Approach to the Problem of Selection Bias in Models of Government Survival. Political Analysis, 23(1), 42-58.
MLA Chiba, Daina,et al."A Copula Approach to the Problem of Selection Bias in Models of Government Survival".Political Analysis 23.1(2015):42-58.
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