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A Tale of Two Countries: Comparing the US and Chinese Bubbles Housing Markets
Lai, R.N.; Van Order, R.
2020-08-01
Source PublicationJOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE FINANCE AND ECONOMICS
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN0895-5638
Volume61Issue:3Pages:505-547
Abstract

This paper compares the recent evolution of property values in the U.S. and China across cities and time. We estimate similar models for the two countries, in order to compare price dynamics, and we find little in common between them. While there are some similarities in terms of long run fundamentals, there are major differences in adjustment. In particular, the U.S. adjustment process appears prone to “bubbles” in the sense of strong momentum from past prices. However, Chinese prices have been generally mean reverting, without much momentum. In short, our results suggest that U.S. house prices have tended to chase past house prices; whereas in China house prices have tended to chase past rents, suggesting that the rise in China has had more to do with scarcity than exuberance. We find differences across cities, especially in China, but differences within countries are smaller than differences between them.

KeywordChinese Housing Market Us hoUsing Market Bubbles Momentum (Pooled) Mean Group Estimation
DOI10.1007/s11146-018-9670-3
Indexed BySSCI ; CPCI-SSH
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics ; Urban Studies
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance ; Economics ; Urban Studies
WOS IDWOS:000563640100007
The Source to ArticlePB_Publication
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85051139160
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorLai, R.N.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Lai, R.N.,Van Order, R.. A Tale of Two Countries: Comparing the US and Chinese Bubbles Housing Markets[J]. JOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE FINANCE AND ECONOMICS, 2020, 61(3), 505-547.
APA Lai, R.N.., & Van Order, R. (2020). A Tale of Two Countries: Comparing the US and Chinese Bubbles Housing Markets. JOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE FINANCE AND ECONOMICS, 61(3), 505-547.
MLA Lai, R.N.,et al."A Tale of Two Countries: Comparing the US and Chinese Bubbles Housing Markets".JOURNAL OF REAL ESTATE FINANCE AND ECONOMICS 61.3(2020):505-547.
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