Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Business Cycles of Casino Cities: Theoretical Model, Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications | |
Sheng, L.1; Gu, X. H.2; Guo, H. Z.3 | |
2021-05-04 | |
Source Publication | Journal of Urban Affairs |
ISSN | 1467-9906 |
Pages | 1-20 |
Abstract | Applying a Markov switching model (MSM) to Las Vegas and Macao, this paper decomposes their business cycles of the casino hospitality industry into high and low growth states (HGS, LGS). Compared with Las Vegas, casino gaming in Macao is more volatile due to larger ups and downs in tourism flows, with HGS being far higher and LGS being much lower. Gaming hospitality in both travel destinations has a strong tendency to stay in HGS but a low chance of recovering from LGS. While the two cities’ hospitality cycles are desirably asymmetric, Las Vegas’s cycle seems more favorable than Macao’s. Furthermore, in this paper, MSM is incorporated into a structural regression to identify determinants of hospitality cycles and generate policy implications useful for decision-making. It is observed that local hospitality cycles are affected by external business cycles and other demand- or supply-side factors. It is necessary for Las Vegas to strengthen promotional marketing and for Macao to pursue industrial diversification. |
Keyword | Markov Switching Model Structural Regression Business Cycle Hospitality Cycle Casino Gaming Las Vegas Macao |
DOI | 10.1080/07352166.2021.1898285 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Urban Studies |
WOS Subject | Urban Studies |
WOS ID | WOS:000647114600001 |
Publisher | ROUTLEDGE JOURNALS, TAYLOR & FRANCIS LTD2-4 PARK SQUARE, MILTON PARK, ABINGDON OX14 4RN, OXON, ENGLAND |
The Source to Article | PB_Publication |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85105320013 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration Faculty of Social Sciences |
Corresponding Author | Sheng, L. |
Affiliation | 1.Univ Macau, Fac Social Sci, Macau, Peoples R China 2.Univ Macau, Fac Business Adm, Macau, Peoples R China 3.Guangdong Univ Technol, Coll Econ & Trade, Guangzhou, Peoples R China |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Sheng, L.,Gu, X. H.,Guo, H. Z.. Business Cycles of Casino Cities: Theoretical Model, Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications[J]. Journal of Urban Affairs, 2021, 1-20. |
APA | Sheng, L.., Gu, X. H.., & Guo, H. Z. (2021). Business Cycles of Casino Cities: Theoretical Model, Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications. Journal of Urban Affairs, 1-20. |
MLA | Sheng, L.,et al."Business Cycles of Casino Cities: Theoretical Model, Empirical Evidence and Policy Implications".Journal of Urban Affairs (2021):1-20. |
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