Modelling the Daily Maximum of the 8-hr Averaged Ozone Concentrations in Macau with Dynamic Statistical Models

UM > HENRY FOK PEARL JUBILEE COLLEGE

Status	已發表Published
	Modelling the Daily Maximum of the 8-hr Averaged Ozone Concentrations in Macau with Dynamic Statistical Models
	Mok, K. M.; Hoi, K. I.; Yuen, K. V.; Chao, K. M.
	2012-05-01
Source Publication	Proceedings of the 32nd NATO/SPS International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modelling and its Application
Pages	1-4
Publication Place	Utrecht
Abstract	In this study, two types of dynamic statistical models, namely time-varying autoregressive model of order p (TVAR9p)) and the time-varying autoregressive model with inclusion of linear exogenous meteorological input (TVAREX-Lin), were applied to hindcast the ozone concentration of Macau in 2009. By comparing the general modelling performance and the capability to capture the pollution episode, it was found that the TVAREX-Lin is a more efficient model, hence showing that the selection of input variables during model construction is important. In addition, it was found that the daily variation of tropospheric ozone in Macau is closely linked to the nature of the transported air masses by the prevailing wind, the dispersion condition, the solar radiation and the humidity condition on the day of prediction.
Keyword	Dynamic statistical model Macau Tropospheric ozone
Language	英語English
The Source to Article	PB_Publication
PUB ID	48419
Document Type	Conference paper
Collection	HENRY FOK PEARL JUBILEE COLLEGE
Corresponding Author	Mok, K. M.
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714	Mok, K. M.,Hoi, K. I.,Yuen, K. V.,et al. Modelling the Daily Maximum of the 8-hr Averaged Ozone Concentrations in Macau with Dynamic Statistical Models[C], Utrecht, 2012, 1-4.
APA	Mok, K. M.., Hoi, K. I.., Yuen, K. V.., & Chao, K. M. (2012). Modelling the Daily Maximum of the 8-hr Averaged Ozone Concentrations in Macau with Dynamic Statistical Models. Proceedings of the 32nd NATO/SPS International Technical Meeting on Air Pollution Modelling and its Application, 1-4.

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