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Monte Carlo simulation for system damage prediction: An example from thermo-mechanical fatigue (TMF) damage for a turbine engine
Chen C.L.P.2; Kim J.2; Guo T.-H.1
2006-12-01
Source PublicationProceedings 2006 IEEE/SMC International Conference on System of Systems Engineering
Volume2006
Pages30-34
AbstractFor high performance/high cost systems like aircraft systems, there is a need to achieve real-time, and continual assessment of engine condition, and possibly, to extend the life of operation. A turbine engine component life is varied depending on its operating environments. It is almost impossible to predict a damage of component correctly since operating conditions might be different. The challenge of life management is to find a reasonable compromise between "safe life" and maximum usage of engine parts to reduce costs. This paper describes prediction problem of thermomechanical fatigue (TMF) damage of a cooled turbine stator. Prediction of TMF damage allows us to manage components of a turbine engine with satisfying "safe life" and costs reduction of management since we can predict the next TMF damages according to expected or randomly selected operating conditions. Neural networks with Monte Carlo simulation are used for predicting TMF damages in different ambient temperatures and airport elevation as our operating conditions for the study of damage prediction. The TMF damage model is provided by a NASA Glenn Research Center engine simulator. A neural network that represents an engine simulator is studied to the accuracy of the prediction. The neural network engine model is combined with Monte Carlo simulation for the study of the performance of damage prediction. © 2006 IEEE.
KeywordMonte Carlo simulation Neural networks Thermo-mechanical fatigue damage
URLView the original
Language英語English
Fulltext Access
Document TypeConference paper
CollectionUniversity of Macau
Affiliation1.NASA Glenn Research Center
2.University of Texas at San Antonio
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Chen C.L.P.,Kim J.,Guo T.-H.. Monte Carlo simulation for system damage prediction: An example from thermo-mechanical fatigue (TMF) damage for a turbine engine[C], 2006, 30-34.
APA Chen C.L.P.., Kim J.., & Guo T.-H. (2006). Monte Carlo simulation for system damage prediction: An example from thermo-mechanical fatigue (TMF) damage for a turbine engine. Proceedings 2006 IEEE/SMC International Conference on System of Systems Engineering, 2006, 30-34.
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