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Fiscal multipliers, monetary efficacy, and hand-to-mouth households
Fei Guo1; Isabel K.M. Yan2; Tao Chen3; Chun-Tien Hu4
2023-02-01
Source PublicationJournal of International Money and Finance
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN0261-5606
Volume130Pages:102743
Abstract

The effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy has been found to exhibit large heterogeneity across countries, and it hinges heavily on households’ marginal propensity to consume (MPC) in response to the policy shocks. This paper examines the role of households’ liquidity, saving, and credit constraints as microfactors that underpin households’ MPC and hence affect the macro level fiscal and monetary policy effectiveness.

This paper presents a uniform framework to measure the degree of various constraints faced by consumers, and employs data from 20 European countries to examine their nexus with hand-to-mouth (HtM) households. Our findings demonstrate that (i) a higher ratio of HtM households generally enhances fiscal multipliers; in particular, the size of tax multipliers is enhanced by the wealthy-HtM ratio (HtM households that hold positive illiquid wealth), whereas the size of fiscal spending multipliers is enhanced by the poor-HtM ratio (households that hold no illiquid wealth); (ii) monetary efficacy is higher in countries with larger HtM ratios, especially those with higher wealthy-HtM ratios; (iii) sole liquidity-constrained HtM households (type-I HtM households) enhance the efficacy of fiscal and monetary policies, but triple constrained HtM households (type-II HtM households that are liquidity-, saving-, and credit-constrained) do not enhance the efficacy, or even do the opposite. The triple constrained case is true especially for the monetary efficacy due to the dampening effect of the credit constraint. This paper contributes to the literature by providing evidence for the heterogeneous impacts of liquidity vs. saving and credit constrained HtM households, and wealthy- vs. poor-HtM households on fiscal and monetary efficacy.

KeywordLiquidity Constraint Saving Constraint Fiscal Multiplier Monetary Efficacy Hand-to-mouth Households
DOI10.1016/j.jimonfin.2022.102743
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance
WOS IDWOS:000876972200003
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTD, THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85138505661
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorFei Guo
Affiliation1.School of Economics and Management, Ningxia University, No. 489, Helanshan West Road, Yinchuan 750021, China
2.Department of Economics and Finance, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong
3.Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Taipa, Macau
4.Jinhe Center for Economic Research, Xi’an Jiaotong University, Xi’an, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Fei Guo,Isabel K.M. Yan,Tao Chen,et al. Fiscal multipliers, monetary efficacy, and hand-to-mouth households[J]. Journal of International Money and Finance, 2023, 130, 102743.
APA Fei Guo., Isabel K.M. Yan., Tao Chen., & Chun-Tien Hu (2023). Fiscal multipliers, monetary efficacy, and hand-to-mouth households. Journal of International Money and Finance, 130, 102743.
MLA Fei Guo,et al."Fiscal multipliers, monetary efficacy, and hand-to-mouth households".Journal of International Money and Finance 130(2023):102743.
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