Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Market Sentiment Analysis Based on Image Processing With Put-Call Volatility Gap Surface | |
Qi, Yuanyuan1; Guo, Guoxiang1; Wang, Yang2; Yen, Jerome1 | |
2024-02 | |
Source Publication | IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems |
ISSN | 2329-924X |
Volume | 11Issue:1Pages:267-281 |
Abstract | Analyzing the market sentiment and forecasting movements in asset prices is extremely important and has been attempted by researchers and market practitioners. Asset volatilities, regardless of historical ones or implied from the option prices, are crucial barometers of the market. And this research proposes a new approach that combines image processing and machine learning to capture the relationships between sentiment-related features and asset movement. The proposed research is based on the tick-level SPY options transactions, and the dataset contains around 1.5 million trading records. Specially, we obtained the gap between the call surface and the put surface as the second-level implied volatility surface (IVS). After adopting the traditional convolutional neural network (CNN) to compare the predictive effects among implied volatility (IV) call surface, IV put surface, and IV gap surface, the results indicate that the IV gap provides the most significant predictability. Besides, our project creatively proposes the interframe difference approach to optimized CNN and a recurrent CNN (RCNN) to fully utilize spatial and temporal features of the IV surface data. According to experiment results, the directional accuracy of prediction ranges from 67.20% to 72.05% for asset movement forecasting at the millisecond level. |
Keyword | Asset Movement Prediction Deep Learning Image Processing Implied Volatility (Iv) Market Sentiment |
DOI | 10.1109/TCSS.2022.3224054 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Computer Science |
WOS Subject | Computer Science, Cybernetics ; Computer Science, Information Systems |
WOS ID | WOS:000912791700001 |
Publisher | IEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85144093800 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Science and Technology DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE |
Corresponding Author | Yen, Jerome |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Macau, China 2.Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology, Shenzhen, China |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Qi, Yuanyuan,Guo, Guoxiang,Wang, Yang,et al. Market Sentiment Analysis Based on Image Processing With Put-Call Volatility Gap Surface[J]. IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems, 2024, 11(1), 267-281. |
APA | Qi, Yuanyuan., Guo, Guoxiang., Wang, Yang., & Yen, Jerome (2024). Market Sentiment Analysis Based on Image Processing With Put-Call Volatility Gap Surface. IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems, 11(1), 267-281. |
MLA | Qi, Yuanyuan,et al."Market Sentiment Analysis Based on Image Processing With Put-Call Volatility Gap Surface".IEEE Transactions on Computational Social Systems 11.1(2024):267-281. |
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