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Exploring the heterogeneous effects of zonal factors on bicycle injury severity: latent class clustering analysis and partial proportional odds models
Wang, Shunchao1,2,3; Ma, Jingfeng1,2,3; Ding, Hongliang4; Lu, Yuhuan5,6
2023-09-02
Source PublicationJournal of Transportation Safety and Security
ISSN1943-9962
Volume15Issue:9Pages:918 - 942
Abstract

Despite the benefits of cycling being widely accepted, bicycle safety—especially severe injury—has received increasing attention due to the vulnerability of bicyclists on the road. Factors contributing to varying bicycle injury severity have been identified in the literature. For the zonal factors, variables related to sociodemographic and household characteristics, built environments, land use, and traffic conditions are considered. However, it is rare that the heterogeneity and hierarchal features of bicycle injury severity are simultaneously considered. This study contributes to the literature by investigating the heterogeneous effects of zonal factors on varying bicycle injury severity, using a 3-year crash data set from the Lower Layer Super Output Areas of London. A combination of latent class clustering and partial proportional odds methods was developed. First, five subgroups of bicycle crashes were identified based on the latent class clustering method. Afterward, partial proportional models were developed separately for different clusters. Results indicate that a series of factors is found to be associated with the occurrence of severe bicycle injuries. However, effects of these factors could be distinctive among different clusters. For example, some factors only have significant impacts in the specific crash clusters. Furthermore, heterogeneous effects of the same factors in one or different clusters are discovered. The findings of this study can be helpful for the development of cycle infrastructures, traffic management, and safety education that can enhance the risk perception of bicyclists and reduce the occurrence of severe bicycle injuries.

KeywordBicycle Safety Injury Severity Latent Class Clustering Partial Proportional Odds Models Zonal Factors
DOI10.1080/19439962.2022.2137869
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaTransportation
WOS SubjectTransportation
WOS IDWOS:000882698100001
PublisherTAYLOR & FRANCIS INC, 530 WALNUT STREET, STE 850, PHILADELPHIA, PA 19106
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85141959252
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorDing, Hongliang
Affiliation1.Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Urban ITS, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
2.Jiangsu Province Collaborative Innovation Center of Modern Urban Traffic Technologies, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
3.School of Transportation, Southeast University, Nanjing, China
4.Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Hom, Hong Kong
5.Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao
6.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wang, Shunchao,Ma, Jingfeng,Ding, Hongliang,et al. Exploring the heterogeneous effects of zonal factors on bicycle injury severity: latent class clustering analysis and partial proportional odds models[J]. Journal of Transportation Safety and Security, 2023, 15(9), 918 - 942.
APA Wang, Shunchao., Ma, Jingfeng., Ding, Hongliang., & Lu, Yuhuan (2023). Exploring the heterogeneous effects of zonal factors on bicycle injury severity: latent class clustering analysis and partial proportional odds models. Journal of Transportation Safety and Security, 15(9), 918 - 942.
MLA Wang, Shunchao,et al."Exploring the heterogeneous effects of zonal factors on bicycle injury severity: latent class clustering analysis and partial proportional odds models".Journal of Transportation Safety and Security 15.9(2023):918 - 942.
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