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A multi-site tide level prediction model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks
Xinlong Zhang1; Tengfei Wang1; Weiping Wang2; Ping Shen3; Zhongya Cai3; Huayang Cai4
2023-02-01
Source PublicationOcean Engineering
ISSN0029-8018
Volume269Pages:113579
Abstract

Predicting regional tide levels is vital for engineering and catastrophe avoidance along the shore. Data-driven method is capable of fast prediction of tide levels. However, current data-driven algorithms only make predictions for individual tide stations, rather than aiming to a regional network system of tide stations. This paper proposes a model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks to predict tidal levels at regional multiple tide stations. The model captures spatial and temporal features from historical tide level and meteorological data. Future tidal levels for multiple tide stations are the model's output. In this work, 48-year historical data from five tidal stations in Pearl River Delta were utilized for model training and evaluation. The results show that: (1) The model outperforms five commonly used baseline models in terms of evaluation metrics RMSE and MAE, and is able to predict future tide levels at multiple tide stations; (2) Short-term forecasts (1 and 3 h) are more accurate than long-term forecasts (12 h); (3) The model retains a high degree of accuracy for short-term predictions and satisfactory accuracy for long-term prediction during typhoons. The method provides a new instrument for regional prediction of tide levels and forecasting of storm surges.

KeywordMulti-site Tide Tide Level Prediction Machine Learning Graph Convolutional Recurrent Networks
DOI10.1016/j.oceaneng.2022.113579
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Oceanography
WOS SubjectEngineering, Marine ; Engineering, Civil ; Engineering, Ocean ; Oceanography
WOS IDWOS:000964163000001
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85145985484
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
DEPARTMENT OF OCEAN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Corresponding AuthorPing Shen; Zhongya Cai
Affiliation1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao
2.School of National Safety and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, People’s Republic of China
3.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Ocean Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macao
4.School of Ocean Engineering and Technology, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, People’s Republic of China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Xinlong Zhang,Tengfei Wang,Weiping Wang,et al. A multi-site tide level prediction model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks[J]. Ocean Engineering, 2023, 269, 113579.
APA Xinlong Zhang., Tengfei Wang., Weiping Wang., Ping Shen., Zhongya Cai., & Huayang Cai (2023). A multi-site tide level prediction model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks. Ocean Engineering, 269, 113579.
MLA Xinlong Zhang,et al."A multi-site tide level prediction model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks".Ocean Engineering 269(2023):113579.
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