Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
A multi-site tide level prediction model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks | |
Xinlong Zhang1; Tengfei Wang1; Weiping Wang2; Ping Shen3; Zhongya Cai3; Huayang Cai4 | |
2023-02-01 | |
Source Publication | Ocean Engineering |
ISSN | 0029-8018 |
Volume | 269Pages:113579 |
Abstract | Predicting regional tide levels is vital for engineering and catastrophe avoidance along the shore. Data-driven method is capable of fast prediction of tide levels. However, current data-driven algorithms only make predictions for individual tide stations, rather than aiming to a regional network system of tide stations. This paper proposes a model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks to predict tidal levels at regional multiple tide stations. The model captures spatial and temporal features from historical tide level and meteorological data. Future tidal levels for multiple tide stations are the model's output. In this work, 48-year historical data from five tidal stations in Pearl River Delta were utilized for model training and evaluation. The results show that: (1) The model outperforms five commonly used baseline models in terms of evaluation metrics RMSE and MAE, and is able to predict future tide levels at multiple tide stations; (2) Short-term forecasts (1 and 3 h) are more accurate than long-term forecasts (12 h); (3) The model retains a high degree of accuracy for short-term predictions and satisfactory accuracy for long-term prediction during typhoons. The method provides a new instrument for regional prediction of tide levels and forecasting of storm surges. |
Keyword | Multi-site Tide Tide Level Prediction Machine Learning Graph Convolutional Recurrent Networks |
DOI | 10.1016/j.oceaneng.2022.113579 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Engineering ; Oceanography |
WOS Subject | Engineering, Marine ; Engineering, Civil ; Engineering, Ocean ; Oceanography |
WOS ID | WOS:000964163000001 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85145985484 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Science and Technology THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU) DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING DEPARTMENT OF OCEAN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY |
Corresponding Author | Ping Shen; Zhongya Cai |
Affiliation | 1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao 2.School of National Safety and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, People’s Republic of China 3.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Ocean Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macao 4.School of Ocean Engineering and Technology, Sun Yat-sen University, Zhuhai, People’s Republic of China |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Xinlong Zhang,Tengfei Wang,Weiping Wang,et al. A multi-site tide level prediction model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks[J]. Ocean Engineering, 2023, 269, 113579. |
APA | Xinlong Zhang., Tengfei Wang., Weiping Wang., Ping Shen., Zhongya Cai., & Huayang Cai (2023). A multi-site tide level prediction model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks. Ocean Engineering, 269, 113579. |
MLA | Xinlong Zhang,et al."A multi-site tide level prediction model based on graph convolutional recurrent networks".Ocean Engineering 269(2023):113579. |
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