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Trajectory Prediction Using Multivariate Time-series Data Stream Learning with Fused Kalman-filter and Evolving Correlated Horizons Feature Selection
Li, Tengyue1; Fong, Simon1,2
2022
Conference Name2022 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, SMC 2022
Source PublicationConference Proceedings - IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics
Volume2022-October
Pages663-670
Conference Date9 October 2022through 12 October 2022
Conference PlacePrague
Abstract

Trajectory prediction of a moving object has imperative significance in both research and practical applications, ranging from target tracking, security surveillance and autonomous vehicle driving. For improving the efficacy of such prediction, a novel approach of data stream learning coupled with Kalman-filter and evolving correlated horizons feature selection (KF-ECH-FS) is proposed. KF has traditionally been used as a control-feedback-loop mechanism that corrects the errors from past trials, to predict the next-step position in trajectory prediction. In our fusion model here, KF and its windowed version are being used as predictor variables in a multivariate time series forecasting process. The predictor variables which serve as additional features aid in improving the trajectory prediction when only the relevant features are being selected in the incremental learning manner by multi-variate data stream analytics. Our proposed ECH-FS solves the problem of model overfitting when many features after expansion by time-series windowing are evaluated and selected along the learning process. A simple and efficient feature selection heuristics, Auto-encoder is used, along with data stream learning by Gate Recurrent Unit. The results, through an experimentation over a sample case of camera surveillance of accident prevention, show that our proposed KF-ECH-FS is superior to either KF or windowing alone in 1-step horizon trajectory prediction.

KeywordData Analytics Data Stream Mining Kalman Filter Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Trajectory Prediction
DOI10.1109/SMC53654.2022.9945572
URLView the original
Language英語English
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85142671528
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeConference paper
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorFong, Simon
Affiliation1.University of Macau, Department of Computer and Information Science, Macao
2.Ai Center, Chongqing Technology and Business University, Chongqing, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Tengyue,Fong, Simon. Trajectory Prediction Using Multivariate Time-series Data Stream Learning with Fused Kalman-filter and Evolving Correlated Horizons Feature Selection[C], 2022, 663-670.
APA Li, Tengyue., & Fong, Simon (2022). Trajectory Prediction Using Multivariate Time-series Data Stream Learning with Fused Kalman-filter and Evolving Correlated Horizons Feature Selection. Conference Proceedings - IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man and Cybernetics, 2022-October, 663-670.
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