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Association between multiple meteorological variables and seasonal influenza A and B virus transmission in Macau
Ng, Hoi Man1; Li, Yusi2,3; Zhang, Teng2,3; Lu, Yiping2,3; Wong, Chio Hang1; Ni, Jinliang1; Zhao, Qi2,3
2022-11-01
Source PublicationHeliyon
ISSN2405-8440
Volume8Issue:11Pages:e11820
Abstract

Few studies have evaluated the influence of meteorological variables on different influenza types in subtropical regions. This study aimed to explore the association between meteorological variables and the onset of influenza A (Flu-A) and B (Flu-B) in Macau. Daily influenza case data in Macau were collected from Kiang Wu Hospital from 1 January, 2014 to 31 December, 2018. Daily meteorological data were obtained from the Macau Meteorological Service. The distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was used to estimate the effects of meteorological variables on seasonal influenza outbreaks. Regarding mean air temperature (temp), the peaks of the cumulative relative risks (RRs) of Flu-A and Flu-B were both at 4.0 °C and 28.0 °C. Regarding the diurnal temperature range (DTR), the peaks of the cumulative RR of Flu-A were at 1.0 °C and 5.0 °C, while the cumulative RR of Flu-B increased as the DTR decreased. The association between influenza risks and relative humidity (RH) showed a U-shape curve. The risk of influenza increased when the RH was below 50% or above 90%. The risk of both types of influenza increased significantly when the sunshine duration (SD) was below 3.5 h. Taking the median value as the reference, a significant cold effect was observed over 16–24 days lag for Flu-A. Lag effects were found for both types of influenza in low-DTR, and humid and short SD conditions. This study revealed complex non-linear association between meteorological variables and the different influenza types in Macau.

KeywordDistributed Lag Non-linear Model Meteorological Variables Seasonal Influenza
DOI10.1016/j.heliyon.2022.e11820
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaScience & Technology - Other Topics
WOS SubjectMultidisciplinary Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000923531700009
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85145563925
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Health Sciences
DEPARTMENT OF BIOMEDICAL SCIENCES
Corresponding AuthorNi, Jinliang; Zhao, Qi
Affiliation1.Clinical Laboratory, Kiang Wu Hospital, Macau, China
2.Institute of Translational Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Macau, Taipa, Macau, China
3.MoE Frontiers Science Center for Precision Oncology, University of Macau, Taipa, Macau, China
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Health Sciences;  University of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Ng, Hoi Man,Li, Yusi,Zhang, Teng,et al. Association between multiple meteorological variables and seasonal influenza A and B virus transmission in Macau[J]. Heliyon, 2022, 8(11), e11820.
APA Ng, Hoi Man., Li, Yusi., Zhang, Teng., Lu, Yiping., Wong, Chio Hang., Ni, Jinliang., & Zhao, Qi (2022). Association between multiple meteorological variables and seasonal influenza A and B virus transmission in Macau. Heliyon, 8(11), e11820.
MLA Ng, Hoi Man,et al."Association between multiple meteorological variables and seasonal influenza A and B virus transmission in Macau".Heliyon 8.11(2022):e11820.
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