Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Mitigating the impact of outliers in traffic crash analysis: A robust Bayesian regression approach with application to tunnel crash data | |
Zhenning Li1; Haicheng Liao2; Ruru Tang1; Guofa Li3; Yunjian Li4; Chengzhong Xu2 | |
2023-03-11 | |
Source Publication | Accident Analysis and Prevention |
ABS Journal Level | 3 |
ISSN | 0001-4575 |
Volume | 185Pages:107019 |
Abstract | Traffic crash datasets are often marred by the presence of anomalous data points, commonly referred to as outliers. These outliers can have a profound impact on the results obtained through the application of traditional methods such as logit and probit models, commonly used in the domain of traffic safety analysis, resulting in biased and unreliable estimates. To mitigate this issue, this study introduces a robust Bayesian regression approach, the robit model, which utilizes a heavy-tailed Student's t distribution to replace the link function of these thin-tailed distributions, effectively reducing the influence of outliers on the analysis. Furthermore, a sandwich algorithm based on data augmentation is proposed to enhance the estimation efficiency of posteriors. The proposed model is rigorously tested using a dataset of tunnel crashes, and the results demonstrate its efficiency, robustness, and superior performance compared to traditional methods. The study also reveals that several factors such as night and speeding have a significant impact on the injury severity of tunnel crashes. This research provides a comprehensive understanding of the outliers treatment methods in traffic safety studies and offers valuable recommendations for the development of appropriate countermeasures to effectively prevent severe injuries in tunnel crashes. |
Keyword | Bayesian Inference Robit Model Robust Regression Traffic Safety Modeling Tunnel Crash |
DOI | 10.1016/j.aap.2023.107019 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Engineering ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Social Sciences - Other Topics ; Transportation |
WOS Subject | Ergonomics ; Public, Environmental & Occupational Health ; Social Sciences, Interdisciplinary ; Transportation |
WOS ID | WOS:000963675800001 |
Publisher | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTDTHE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85149808952 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING Faculty of Science and Technology INSTITUTE OF APPLIED PHYSICS AND MATERIALS ENGINEERING THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU) DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE |
Co-First Author | Zhenning Li |
Corresponding Author | Zhenning Li; Chengzhong Xu |
Affiliation | 1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, 999078, Macao 2.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, 999078, Macao 3.College of Mechanical and Vehicle Engineering, Chongqing University, Chongqing, 400044, China 4.Institute of Applied Physics and Materials Engineering, University of Macau, 999078, Macao |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Zhenning Li,Haicheng Liao,Ruru Tang,et al. Mitigating the impact of outliers in traffic crash analysis: A robust Bayesian regression approach with application to tunnel crash data[J]. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 2023, 185, 107019. |
APA | Zhenning Li., Haicheng Liao., Ruru Tang., Guofa Li., Yunjian Li., & Chengzhong Xu (2023). Mitigating the impact of outliers in traffic crash analysis: A robust Bayesian regression approach with application to tunnel crash data. Accident Analysis and Prevention, 185, 107019. |
MLA | Zhenning Li,et al."Mitigating the impact of outliers in traffic crash analysis: A robust Bayesian regression approach with application to tunnel crash data".Accident Analysis and Prevention 185(2023):107019. |
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