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Modelling 30-day hospital readmission after discharge for COPD patients based on electronic health records
Meng Li1,2; Kun Cheng3; Keisun Ku3; Junlei Li1; Hao Hu1,4; Carolina Oi Lam Ung1,4
2023-04-10
Source Publicationnpj Primary Care Respiratory Medicine
ISSN2055-1010
Volume33Issue:1Pages:16
Abstract

Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) is the third most common chronic disease in China with frequent exacerbations, resulting in increased hospitalization and readmission rate. COPD readmission within 30 days after discharge is an important indicator of care transitions, patient’s quality of life and disease management. Identifying risk factors and improving 30-day readmission prediction help inform appropriate interventions, reducing readmissions and financial burden. This study aimed to develop a 30-day readmission prediction model using decision tree by learning from the data extracted from the electronic health record of COPD patients in Macao. Health records data of COPD inpatients from Kiang Wu Hospital, Macao, from January 1, 2018, to December 31, 2019 were reviewed and analyzed. A total of 782 hospitalizations for AECOPD were enrolled, where the 30-day readmission rate was 26.5% (207). A balanced dataset was randomly generated, where male accounted for 69.1% and mean age was 80.73 years old. Age, length of stay, history of tobacco smoking, hemoglobin, systemic steroids use, antibiotics use and number of hospital admission due to COPD in last 12 months were found to be significant risk factors for 30-day readmission of CODP patients (P < 0.01). A data-driven decision tree-based modelling approach with Bayesian hyperparameter optimization was developed. The mean precision-recall and AUC value for the classifier were 73.85, 73.7 and 0.7506, showing a satisfying prediction performance. The number of hospital admission due to AECOPD in last 12 months, smoke status and patients’ age were the top factors for 30-day readmission in Macao population.

DOI10.1038/s41533-023-00339-6
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaGeneral & Internal Medicine ; Respiratory System
WOS SubjectPrimary Health Care ; Respiratory System
WOS IDWOS:000966424500001
PublisherNATURE PORTFOLIO, HEIDELBERGER PLATZ 3, BERLIN 14197, GERMANY
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85152109176
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Health Sciences
Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF QUALITY RESEARCH IN CHINESE MEDICINE (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC HEALTH AND MEDICINAL ADMINISTRATION
Corresponding AuthorHao Hu; Carolina Oi Lam Ung
Affiliation1.State Key Laboratory of Quality Research in Chinese Medicine,Institute of Chinese Medical Sciences,University of Macau,Macao
2.School of Public Health,Southeast University,Nanjing,China
3.Internal Medicine Department,Kiang Wu Hospital,Macao
4.Department of Public Health and Medicinal Administration,Faculty of Health Sciences,University of Macau,Macao
First Author AffilicationInstitute of Chinese Medical Sciences
Corresponding Author AffilicationInstitute of Chinese Medical Sciences;  Faculty of Health Sciences
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Meng Li,Kun Cheng,Keisun Ku,et al. Modelling 30-day hospital readmission after discharge for COPD patients based on electronic health records[J]. npj Primary Care Respiratory Medicine, 2023, 33(1), 16.
APA Meng Li., Kun Cheng., Keisun Ku., Junlei Li., Hao Hu., & Carolina Oi Lam Ung (2023). Modelling 30-day hospital readmission after discharge for COPD patients based on electronic health records. npj Primary Care Respiratory Medicine, 33(1), 16.
MLA Meng Li,et al."Modelling 30-day hospital readmission after discharge for COPD patients based on electronic health records".npj Primary Care Respiratory Medicine 33.1(2023):16.
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