UM  > Faculty of Science and Technology
Residential Collegefalse
Status即將出版Forthcoming
Combining dimensionality reduction methods with neural networks for realized volatility forecasting
Andrea Bucci1; HE Lidan2; Liu Z(劉志)3
2023-08
Source PublicationAnnals of Operations Research
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN0254-5330
Abstract

The application of artificial neural networks to finance has recently received a great deal of attention from both investors and researchers, particularly as a forecasting tool. However, when dealing with a large number of predictors, these methods may overfit the data and provide poor out-of-sample forecasts. Our paper addresses this issue by employing two different approaches to predict realized volatility. On the one hand, we use a two-step procedure where several dimensionality reduction methods, such as Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA), Principal Component Analysis (PCA), and Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (Lasso), are employed in the initial step to reduce dimensionality. The reduced samples are then combined with artificial neutral networks. On the other hand, we implement two singlestep regularized neural networks that can shrink the input weights to zero and effectively handle high-dimensional data. Our findings on the volatility of different stock asset prices indicate that the reduced models outperform the compared models without regularization in terms of predictive accuracy.

KeywordRealized Volatility Artificial Neural Network Machine-learning Pca Method Bayesian Model Averaging
Indexed BySCIE
WOS Research AreaOperations Research & Management Science
WOS SubjectOperations Research & Management Science
WOS IDWOS:001060633400002
PublisherSPRINGER, VAN GODEWIJCKSTRAAT 30, 3311 GZ DORDRECHT, NETHERLANDS
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85171559073
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS
Corresponding AuthorAndrea Bucci
Affiliation1.Department of Economics and Law, University of Macerata, Via Crescimbeni, 62100 Macerata, Italy
2.School of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, 219 Ningliu Road, Pukou District, Nanjing 211544, China
3.Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau, Avenida de Universidade, Taipa, Macau, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Andrea Bucci,HE Lidan,Liu Z. Combining dimensionality reduction methods with neural networks for realized volatility forecasting[J]. Annals of Operations Research, 2023.
APA Andrea Bucci., HE Lidan., & Liu Z (2023). Combining dimensionality reduction methods with neural networks for realized volatility forecasting. Annals of Operations Research.
MLA Andrea Bucci,et al."Combining dimensionality reduction methods with neural networks for realized volatility forecasting".Annals of Operations Research (2023).
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Andrea Bucci]'s Articles
[HE Lidan]'s Articles
[Liu Z(劉志)]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Andrea Bucci]'s Articles
[HE Lidan]'s Articles
[Liu Z(劉志)]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Andrea Bucci]'s Articles
[HE Lidan]'s Articles
[Liu Z(劉志)]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.