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Forecasting realized volatility with machine learning: Panel data perspective
Zhu, Haibin1; Bai, Lu2; He, Lidan3; Liu, Zhi2,4
2023-07-28
Source PublicationJournal of Empirical Finance
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN0927-5398
Volume73Pages:251-271
Abstract

Machine learning approaches have become very popular in many fields in this big data age. This paper considers the problem of forecasting realized volatility with machine learning using high-frequency data. Instead of treating the realized volatility as a univariate time series studied by many existing works in literature, we employ panel data analysis to improve forecasting accuracy in the short term. We use six effective machine-learning methods for the realized volatility panel data. We compare our results with the traditional linear-type models under the same panel data framework and with the single time series forecasting via the same machine learning methods. The results show that the panel-data-based machine learning method (PDML) outperforms the other methods.

KeywordForecasting Machine Learning Panel Data Analysis Realized Volatility
DOI10.1016/j.jempfin.2023.07.003
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance ; Economics
WOS IDWOS:001062545900001
PublisherELSEVIER, RADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85167507235
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS
Corresponding AuthorLiu, Zhi
Affiliation1.Department of Statistics and Data Science, School of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China
2.Department of Mathematics, University of Macau, China
3.School of Mathematics and Statistics, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
4.Zhuhai-UM Science and Technology Research Institute, Zhuhai, China
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zhu, Haibin,Bai, Lu,He, Lidan,et al. Forecasting realized volatility with machine learning: Panel data perspective[J]. Journal of Empirical Finance, 2023, 73, 251-271.
APA Zhu, Haibin., Bai, Lu., He, Lidan., & Liu, Zhi (2023). Forecasting realized volatility with machine learning: Panel data perspective. Journal of Empirical Finance, 73, 251-271.
MLA Zhu, Haibin,et al."Forecasting realized volatility with machine learning: Panel data perspective".Journal of Empirical Finance 73(2023):251-271.
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