Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Machine learning-based quantitative trading strategies across different time intervals in the American market | |
Wang, Yimeng1; Yan, Keyue2 | |
2023-11 | |
Source Publication | Quantitative Finance and Economics |
ISSN | 2573-0134 |
Volume | 7Issue:4Pages:569-594 |
Abstract | Stocks are the most common financial investment products and attract many investors around the world. However, stock price volatility is usually uncontrollable and unpredictable for the individual investor. This research aims to apply different machine learning models to capture the stock price trends from the perspective of individual investors. We consider six traditional machine learning models for prediction: decision tree, support vector machine, bootstrap aggregating, random forest, adaptive boosting, and categorical boosting. Moreover, we propose a framework that uses regression models to obtain predicted values of different moving average changes and converts them into classification problems to generate final predictive results. With this method, we achieve the best average accuracy of 0.9031 from the 20-day change of moving average based on the support vector machine model. Furthermore, we conduct simulation trading experiments to evaluate the performance of this predictive framework and obtain the highest average annualized rate of return of 29.57%. |
Keyword | Machine Learning Moving Average Quantitative Trading Stock Price Prediction |
DOI | 10.3934/QFE.2023028 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | ESCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Business & Economics |
WOS Subject | Business, Finance |
WOS ID | WOS:001106436800001 |
Publisher | AMER INST MATHEMATICAL SCIENCES-AIMS, PO BOX 2604, SPRINGFIELD, MO 65801-2604, UNITED STATES |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85176925946 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Science and Technology DEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS CHOI KAI YAU COLLEGE |
Corresponding Author | Yan, Keyue |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Mathematics, University of Macau, Macau, China 2.Choi Kai Yau College, University of Macau, Macau, China |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Wang, Yimeng,Yan, Keyue. Machine learning-based quantitative trading strategies across different time intervals in the American market[J]. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 2023, 7(4), 569-594. |
APA | Wang, Yimeng., & Yan, Keyue (2023). Machine learning-based quantitative trading strategies across different time intervals in the American market. Quantitative Finance and Economics, 7(4), 569-594. |
MLA | Wang, Yimeng,et al."Machine learning-based quantitative trading strategies across different time intervals in the American market".Quantitative Finance and Economics 7.4(2023):569-594. |
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