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A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not | |
Alternative Title | A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not |
Galan, Enrique1; Leandro, Francisco2 | |
2024-02 | |
Source Publication | Asian Perspective |
ISSN | 0258-9184 |
Volume | 48Pages:13-39 |
Abstract | Abstract: China has traditionally been regarded as a continental power. However, the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road (MSR), launched in 2013, shapes China’s intention to become a global maritime power. The initiative is the most significant contribution to increasing global maritime connectivity in recent decades. The volume and impact of Chinese investments in Europe’s seaports are remarkable. This article proposes a fundamental framework to assess who benefits from the initiative. Since quantitative cost-benefit analyses (CBA) hardly apply to multifaceted and partially unquantifiable phenomena, we suggest assessing the MSR by means of a comprehensive qualitative CBA. We opted for a qualitative CBA due to ontological and epistemological reasons: on the one hand, the complex and multilayered nature of the problem is difficult to monetize, and, on the other hand, our argument is not final, as it attempts to assess a given policy before its implementation is sufficiently mature. In this vein, we apply the problem-solving methodology ‘analytic hierarchy process’. While the media have disproportionately stressed the negative effects of the MSR, we conclude under this framework that (i) for China, MSR benefits largely outweigh associated costs; (ii) for participating countries, MSR benefits outweigh the associated costs only after cost-mitigating measures are incorporated; and (iii) for non-participating countries, MSR costs outweigh associated benefits. |
Keyword | China 21st Century Maritime Silk Road Maritime Trade Cost-benefit Analysis Connectivity Realism Analytic Hierarchy Process |
Subject Area | 经济学 ; 政治学 ; 社会学 |
DOI | 10.1353/apr.2024.a919880 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
Funding Project | Geopolitics of Brazil |
WOS Research Area | International Relations |
WOS Subject | International Relations |
WOS ID | WOS:2.0-85189073439 |
Publisher | JOHNS HOPKINS UNIV PRESS, JOURNALS PUBLISHING DIVISION, 2715 NORTH CHARLES ST, BALTIMORE, MD 21218-4363 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85189073439 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF GOVERNMENT AND PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION |
Corresponding Author | Leandro, Francisco |
Affiliation | 1.Stephen Zuellig School of Development Management of the Asian Institute of Management, Philippines 2.University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Galan, Enrique,Leandro, Francisco. A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not[J]. Asian Perspective, 2024, 48, 13-39. |
APA | Galan, Enrique., & Leandro, Francisco (2024). A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not. Asian Perspective, 48, 13-39. |
MLA | Galan, Enrique,et al."A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not".Asian Perspective 48(2024):13-39. |
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