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A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not
Alternative TitleA Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not
Galan, Enrique1; Leandro, Francisco2
2024-02
Source PublicationAsian Perspective
ISSN0258-9184
Volume48Pages:13-39
Abstract

Abstract: China has traditionally been regarded as a continental power. However, the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road (MSR), launched in 2013, shapes China’s intention to become a global maritime power. The initiative is the most significant contribution to increasing global maritime connectivity in recent decades. The volume and impact of Chinese investments in Europe’s seaports are remarkable. This article proposes a fundamental framework to assess who benefits from the initiative. Since quantitative cost-benefit analyses (CBA) hardly apply to multifaceted and partially unquantifiable phenomena, we suggest assessing the MSR by means of a comprehensive qualitative CBA. We opted for a qualitative CBA due to ontological and epistemological reasons: on the one hand, the complex and multilayered nature of the problem is difficult to monetize, and, on the other hand, our argument is not final, as it attempts to assess a given policy before its implementation is sufficiently mature. In this vein, we apply the problem-solving methodology ‘analytic hierarchy process’. While the media have disproportionately stressed the negative effects of the MSR, we conclude under this framework that (i) for China, MSR benefits largely outweigh associated costs; (ii) for participating countries, MSR benefits outweigh the associated costs only after cost-mitigating measures are incorporated; and (iii) for non-participating countries, MSR costs outweigh associated benefits.

KeywordChina 21st Century Maritime Silk Road Maritime Trade Cost-benefit Analysis Connectivity Realism Analytic Hierarchy Process
Subject Area经济学 ; 政治学 ; 社会学
DOI10.1353/apr.2024.a919880
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
Funding ProjectGeopolitics of Brazil
WOS Research AreaInternational Relations
WOS SubjectInternational Relations
WOS IDWOS:2.0-85189073439
PublisherJOHNS HOPKINS UNIV PRESS, JOURNALS PUBLISHING DIVISION, 2715 NORTH CHARLES ST, BALTIMORE, MD 21218-4363
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85189073439
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF GOVERNMENT AND PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION
Corresponding AuthorLeandro, Francisco
Affiliation1.Stephen Zuellig School of Development Management of the Asian Institute of Management, Philippines
2.University of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Galan, Enrique,Leandro, Francisco. A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not[J]. Asian Perspective, 2024, 48, 13-39.
APA Galan, Enrique., & Leandro, Francisco (2024). A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not. Asian Perspective, 48, 13-39.
MLA Galan, Enrique,et al."A Qualitative Cost-Benefit Analysis of the Maritime Silk Road in Europe: Who Benefits from the Initiative and Who Does Not".Asian Perspective 48(2024):13-39.
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