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Customer baseline load estimation for virtual power plants in demand response: An attention mechanism-based generative adversarial networks approach
Wang, Zhenyi; Zhang, Hongcai
2024-03-01
Source PublicationApplied Energy
ISSN0306-2619
Volume357Pages:122544
Abstract

The virtual power plant (VPP) that aggregates demand-side resources, is a new type of entity to participate in the electricity market and demand response (DR) program. Accurate customer baseline load (CBL) estimation is critical for DR implementation, especially the financial settlement in incentive-based DR. However, this is a challenging task as CBLs cannot be measured and are not equal to actual loads when DR events occur. Moreover, VPPs with different aggregation scales form heterogeneous electricity customers, which increases the difficulty of CBL estimation. In order to address this challenge, this paper proposes a novel deep learning-based CBL estimation method for varied types of electricity customers with different load levels. Specifically, we first transform the CBL estimation problem into a time-series missing data imputation issue, by regarding actual load sequences as CBL sequences with missing data, during DR periods. Then, we propose an attention mechanism-based neural network model to learn load patterns and characteristics of various CBLs, and also create the DR mask to avoid the disturbance of actual loads of DR periods on CBL's normal pattern. Further, we develop the generative adversarial networks (GAN)-based data imputation framework to produce the corresponding complete CBL sequence according to the actual load sequence, and then recover the missing values accordingly. Finally, comprehensive case studies are conducted based on public datasets, and our proposed method outperforms all benchmarks, where the mean and standard deviation of its estimation percentage error are 5.85% and 1.74%, respectively. This validates the effectiveness and superiority of the proposed method.

KeywordAttention Mechanism Baseline Load Estimation Demand Response Generative Adversarial Networks Virtual Power Plant
DOI10.1016/j.apenergy.2023.122544
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEnergy & Fuels ; Engineering
WOS SubjectEnergy & Fuels ; Engineering, Chemical
WOS IDWOS:001165519200001
PublisherELSEVIER SCI LTD, THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, OXON, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85182413269
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorZhang, Hongcai
AffiliationState Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Macau, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Wang, Zhenyi,Zhang, Hongcai. Customer baseline load estimation for virtual power plants in demand response: An attention mechanism-based generative adversarial networks approach[J]. Applied Energy, 2024, 357, 122544.
APA Wang, Zhenyi., & Zhang, Hongcai (2024). Customer baseline load estimation for virtual power plants in demand response: An attention mechanism-based generative adversarial networks approach. Applied Energy, 357, 122544.
MLA Wang, Zhenyi,et al."Customer baseline load estimation for virtual power plants in demand response: An attention mechanism-based generative adversarial networks approach".Applied Energy 357(2024):122544.
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