Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Enhancing tourism demand forecasting with a transformer-based framework | |
Li, Xin1; Xu, Yechi1; Law, Rob2; Wang, Shouyang3,4 | |
2024-07-01 | |
Source Publication | Annals of Tourism Research |
ABS Journal Level | 4 |
ISSN | 0160-7383 |
Volume | 107Pages:103791 |
Abstract | This study introduces an innovative framework that harnesses the most recent transformer architecture to enhance tourism demand forecasting. The proposed transformer-based model integrates the tree-structured parzen estimator for hyperparameter optimization, a robust time series decomposition approach, and a temporal fusion transformer for multivariate time series prediction. Our novel approach initially employs the decomposition method to decompose the data series to effectively mitigate the influence of outliers. The temporal fusion transformer is subsequently utilized for forecasting, and its hyperparameters are meticulously fine-tuned by a Bayesian-based algorithm, culminating in a more efficient and precise model for tourism demand forecasting. Our model surpasses existing state-of-the-art methodologies in terms of forecasting accuracy and robustness. |
Keyword | Temporal Fusion Transformer Time Series Decomposition Tourism Demand Forecasting Tree-structured Parzen Estimator |
DOI | 10.1016/j.annals.2024.103791 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Social Sciences - Other Topics ; Sociology |
WOS Subject | Hospitality, Leisure, Sport & Tourism ; Sociology |
WOS ID | WOS:001246758800001 |
Publisher | PERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85194049607 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | ASIA-PACIFIC ACADEMY OF ECONOMICS AND MANAGEMENT |
Corresponding Author | Li, Xin |
Affiliation | 1.School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology, Beijing, 100083, China 2.Asia-Pacific Academy of Economics and Management, Department of Integrated Resort and Tourism Management, Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao 3.Academy of Mathematics and Systems Science, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China 4.School of Economics and Management, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100190, China |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Li, Xin,Xu, Yechi,Law, Rob,et al. Enhancing tourism demand forecasting with a transformer-based framework[J]. Annals of Tourism Research, 2024, 107, 103791. |
APA | Li, Xin., Xu, Yechi., Law, Rob., & Wang, Shouyang (2024). Enhancing tourism demand forecasting with a transformer-based framework. Annals of Tourism Research, 107, 103791. |
MLA | Li, Xin,et al."Enhancing tourism demand forecasting with a transformer-based framework".Annals of Tourism Research 107(2024):103791. |
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