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Are firms more concerned about analysts’ earnings forecasts after the split-share structure reform? Evidence from China
Xi, X.1; Chen, C.2; Huang, R.2; Tang, F.2
2024-06-13
Source PublicationInternational Journal of Accounting and Information Management
ABS Journal Level2
ISSN1834-7649
Volume32Issue:3Pages:411-429
Abstract

Purpose: This study aims to examine whether Chinese firms increase their concerns about analysts’ earnings forecasts following the split-share structure reform (SSR) in 2005, which removed trading restrictions on approximately 70% of the shares of listed firms. Design/methodology/approach: Using data from 2002 to 2019, the authors empirically test the association between meeting or beating analysts’ earnings expectations and the implementation of SSR. Findings: The authors find that firms are more inclined to meet analysts’ earnings expectations after the introduction of SSR. Further analysis shows that firms guide analysts to walk their forecasts down by manipulating third-quarter earnings, suggesting enhanced value relevance between analysts’ forecasts and third-quarter earnings management in the postreform period. Practical implications: The findings reveal an undesirable side effect of SSR and suggest that policymakers and regulators should consider and carefully manage the complex relationships between firms and analysts. Originality/value: In contrast to prior studies that predominantly focus on the positive effects of the reform, this study reveals the side effects of SSR and provides new evidence on the mechanisms of meeting or beating analysts’ earnings expectations.

KeywordAnalysts’ Earnings Forecasts Earnings Guidance Earnings Management Ownership Structure Split-share Structure Reform
DOI10.1108/IJAIM-07-2023-0188
URLView the original
Indexed ByESCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectManagement
WOS IDWOS:001133289900001
PublisherEMERALD GROUP PUBLISHING LTD, Floor 5, Northspring 21-23 Wellington Street, Leeds, W YORKSHIRE LS1 4DL, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85181199886
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
DEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
Affiliation1.Faculty of Business, City University of Macau, Macao
2.Department of Accounting and Information Management, Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Macao
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Xi, X.,Chen, C.,Huang, R.,et al. Are firms more concerned about analysts’ earnings forecasts after the split-share structure reform? Evidence from China[J]. International Journal of Accounting and Information Management, 2024, 32(3), 411-429.
APA Xi, X.., Chen, C.., Huang, R.., & Tang, F. (2024). Are firms more concerned about analysts’ earnings forecasts after the split-share structure reform? Evidence from China. International Journal of Accounting and Information Management, 32(3), 411-429.
MLA Xi, X.,et al."Are firms more concerned about analysts’ earnings forecasts after the split-share structure reform? Evidence from China".International Journal of Accounting and Information Management 32.3(2024):411-429.
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