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Comparative Analysis of Offshore Wind Power Prediction Models and Clustering-Based Daily Output Classification
Ou, Zhongxi1; Lan, Wei1; Zhang, Liang1; Tong, Zhu1; Liu, Dundun2; Liu, Zhaoxi2
2024-07
Conference Name2024 IEEE 2nd International Conference on Power Science and Technology (ICPST)
Source Publication2024 IEEE 2nd International Conference on Power Science and Technology (ICPST)
Pages1482-1487
Conference Date9-11 May 2024
Conference PlaceDali, China
CountryChina
PublisherInstitute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
Abstract

Traditionally, offshore wind power forecast research has focused on predicting power curves without extensive analysis of their variations. However, it is crucial to recognize that distinct types of offshore wind power output curves may lead to different operating modes of the grid. In this study, we address this gap by investigating the trends and patterns of offshore wind power output within a day to achieve a better understanding of grid operation modes. We propose an approach that integrates Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) and Convolutional Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) prediction models with K-means clustering for the prediction and categorization of offshore wind power. Specifically, we utilize LSTM and GRU models to predict offshore wind output, followed by a comparison of the effectiveness of these two prediction methods. Subsequently, we apply K-means clustering to categorize the daily predicted curves into distinct groups. By analyzing the curves of different categories, we can identify types of curves suitable for different grid operating modes. Finally, we validate the effectiveness of this methodology through verification analysis using actual offshore wind power data from Zhuhai, providing insights to enhance grid operation.

KeywordGru K-means Clustering Lstm Offshore Wind Power Offshore Wind Power Forecasting Prediction Accuracy Prediction Models
DOI10.1109/ICPST61417.2024.10601951
URLView the original
Language英語English
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85200706502
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Document TypeConference paper
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorLiu, Zhaoxi
Affiliation1.Zhuhai Power Supply Bureau Guangdong Power Grid Co., Ltd., Zhuhai, China
2.University of Macau, State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, Macao, Macao
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Ou, Zhongxi,Lan, Wei,Zhang, Liang,et al. Comparative Analysis of Offshore Wind Power Prediction Models and Clustering-Based Daily Output Classification[C]:Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc., 2024, 1482-1487.
APA Ou, Zhongxi., Lan, Wei., Zhang, Liang., Tong, Zhu., Liu, Dundun., & Liu, Zhaoxi (2024). Comparative Analysis of Offshore Wind Power Prediction Models and Clustering-Based Daily Output Classification. 2024 IEEE 2nd International Conference on Power Science and Technology (ICPST), 1482-1487.
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