Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Change of global land extreme temperature in the future | |
Zhang, Xinlong1; Huang, Taosheng1; Wang, Weiping2; Shen, Ping3 | |
2024-11-01 | |
Source Publication | Global and Planetary Change |
ISSN | 0921-8181 |
Volume | 242Pages:104583 |
Abstract | Understanding future temperature extremes is pivotal to preparing for and mitigating the impacts of climate change. This study proposed machine learning techniques to develop a multi-model ensemble model for high-resolution projection of global land temperature extremes under different emission scenarios, hence providing enhanced precision over previous climate model projections. By utilizing the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 dataset with bias adjustment and the Gradient Booster algorithm, we reduced the biases that existed in Global Climate Models. The model significantly reduces the root mean square errors (RMSEs) for both the daily maximum and daily minimum temperature extremes. A future scenario analysis revealed that global temperature extremes would substantially increase under high-emission scenarios, highlighting the urgency for stringent emission reduction commitments. This study also identified regions like Greenland, the Tibetan Plateau, and the regional Arctic Archipelago as potential hotspots of temperature extremes under these scenarios. The multi-model ensemble approach, tuned with machine learning and driven by high-resolution data, contributes to climate science by providing refined insights into future temperature extremes, thereby offering direction to climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies. |
Keyword | Climate Change Cmip6 Extreme Temperatures Multi-model Ensemble |
DOI | 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104583 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Physical Geography ; Geology |
WOS Subject | Geography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary |
WOS ID | WOS:001318906200001 |
Publisher | ELSEVIER, RADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85204202145 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU) DEPARTMENT OF OCEAN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY |
Corresponding Author | Wang, Weiping; Shen, Ping |
Affiliation | 1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao 2.School of National Safety and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, China 3.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Ocean Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macao |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Xinlong,Huang, Taosheng,Wang, Weiping,et al. Change of global land extreme temperature in the future[J]. Global and Planetary Change, 2024, 242, 104583. |
APA | Zhang, Xinlong., Huang, Taosheng., Wang, Weiping., & Shen, Ping (2024). Change of global land extreme temperature in the future. Global and Planetary Change, 242, 104583. |
MLA | Zhang, Xinlong,et al."Change of global land extreme temperature in the future".Global and Planetary Change 242(2024):104583. |
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