Residential Collegefalse
Status已發表Published
Change of global land extreme temperature in the future
Zhang, Xinlong1; Huang, Taosheng1; Wang, Weiping2; Shen, Ping3
2024-11-01
Source PublicationGlobal and Planetary Change
ISSN0921-8181
Volume242Pages:104583
Abstract

Understanding future temperature extremes is pivotal to preparing for and mitigating the impacts of climate change. This study proposed machine learning techniques to develop a multi-model ensemble model for high-resolution projection of global land temperature extremes under different emission scenarios, hence providing enhanced precision over previous climate model projections. By utilizing the NEX-GDDP-CMIP6 dataset with bias adjustment and the Gradient Booster algorithm, we reduced the biases that existed in Global Climate Models. The model significantly reduces the root mean square errors (RMSEs) for both the daily maximum and daily minimum temperature extremes. A future scenario analysis revealed that global temperature extremes would substantially increase under high-emission scenarios, highlighting the urgency for stringent emission reduction commitments. This study also identified regions like Greenland, the Tibetan Plateau, and the regional Arctic Archipelago as potential hotspots of temperature extremes under these scenarios. The multi-model ensemble approach, tuned with machine learning and driven by high-resolution data, contributes to climate science by providing refined insights into future temperature extremes, thereby offering direction to climate change mitigation and adaptation strategies.

KeywordClimate Change Cmip6 Extreme Temperatures Multi-model Ensemble
DOI10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104583
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaPhysical Geography ; Geology
WOS SubjectGeography, Physical ; Geosciences, Multidisciplinary
WOS IDWOS:001318906200001
PublisherELSEVIER, RADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85204202145
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF OCEAN SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY
Corresponding AuthorWang, Weiping; Shen, Ping
Affiliation1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao
2.School of National Safety and Emergency Management, Beijing Normal University, Zhuhai, China
3.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Ocean Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macao
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zhang, Xinlong,Huang, Taosheng,Wang, Weiping,et al. Change of global land extreme temperature in the future[J]. Global and Planetary Change, 2024, 242, 104583.
APA Zhang, Xinlong., Huang, Taosheng., Wang, Weiping., & Shen, Ping (2024). Change of global land extreme temperature in the future. Global and Planetary Change, 242, 104583.
MLA Zhang, Xinlong,et al."Change of global land extreme temperature in the future".Global and Planetary Change 242(2024):104583.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Zhang, Xinlong]'s Articles
[Huang, Taosheng]'s Articles
[Wang, Weiping]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Zhang, Xinlong]'s Articles
[Huang, Taosheng]'s Articles
[Wang, Weiping]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Zhang, Xinlong]'s Articles
[Huang, Taosheng]'s Articles
[Wang, Weiping]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.