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Like a moth to a flame: Do stock market bubbles exacerbate credit risks of peer-to-peer lending?
Liu, Xin1; Ni, Xiaoran2; Qiu, Zhigang3; Xiang, Wang4; Zhang, Kailun5
2024-09-10
Source PublicationEuropean Financial Management
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN1354-7798
Abstract

We establish a causal link between stock market bubbles and credit risks from peer-to-peer lending. Employing a fuzzy regression discontinuity design based on retail investors' disproportional increase in stock market participation when the Shanghai Stock Exchange composite index exceeds 3500, we find that both the default rate and the degree of delinquency rise disproportionately for loans borrowed above the 3500 threshold. This effect is more pronounced among loans of lower quality and when borrowers are more overconfident and less risk averse. Overall, our results suggest that FinTech developments could amplify financial risks and induce contagion across markets.

KeywordContagion Credit Risk Peer-to-peer Lending Retail Investor
DOI10.1111/eufm.12516
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance
WOS IDWOS:001308766400001
PublisherWILEY, 111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85203520276
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorLiu, Xin
Affiliation1.Department of Finance and Business Economics, Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Macao
2.School of Economics and Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics, Xiamen University, Xiamen, China
3.China Financial Policy Research Center, School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China
4.School of Finance, Renmin University of China, Beijing, China
5.CUHK Business School, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Corresponding Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Liu, Xin,Ni, Xiaoran,Qiu, Zhigang,et al. Like a moth to a flame: Do stock market bubbles exacerbate credit risks of peer-to-peer lending?[J]. European Financial Management, 2024.
APA Liu, Xin., Ni, Xiaoran., Qiu, Zhigang., Xiang, Wang., & Zhang, Kailun (2024). Like a moth to a flame: Do stock market bubbles exacerbate credit risks of peer-to-peer lending?. European Financial Management.
MLA Liu, Xin,et al."Like a moth to a flame: Do stock market bubbles exacerbate credit risks of peer-to-peer lending?".European Financial Management (2024).
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