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Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of flood resilience in Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration
Deng, Jiafeng1,2,3; Zhang, Rui1; Chen, Sheng1,2; Li, Zhi3; Gao, Liang4; Li, Yanping5; Wei, Chunxia6
2024-11
Source PublicationInternational Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction
ISSN2212-4209
Volume114Pages:104905
Abstract

In the context of global climate change and rapid urbanization, enhancing flood resilience is essential for mitigating urban flood risk. However, few studies have conducted long-term, cross-scale dynamic evaluations of flood resilience and analyzed its influencing factors and mechanisms. Taking the Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration as the study area, a long-term, cross-scale dynamic evaluation index system based on the “Robustness-Resistance-Recovery” (3Rs) framework was developed to assess the spatiotemporal evolution of flood resilience from 2000 to 2020. Furthermore, the optimal parameters-based geographical detector model is employed to identify the key influencing factors and mechanisms. The results reveal that pre-flood robustness is lower in coastal areas and higher in inland areas. In the during-flood stage, cities with greater comprehensive power exhibit stronger resistance. Post-flood recovery is higher in city centers and marginal mountainous areas, while coastal and inland low-lying areas show lower recovery. The flood resilience of urban agglomerations has improved in recent years, largely due to the enhancement of urban flood control infrastructure and healthcare capacity. However, disparities between cities persist. From 2000 to 2020, economic factors have been the primary drivers of improved flood resilience, while ecological factors have gained increasing importance over the past decade. These findings provide valuable insights for flood prevention, mitigation, and resilience management in urban agglomerations. The developed dynamic evaluation index system offers a reference framework for evaluating flood resilience in other regions.

KeywordFlood Resilience Spatiotemporal Evolution Influencing Factor Optimal Parameters-based Geographical Detector Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration
DOI10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104905
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaGeology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS SubjectGeosciences, Multidisciplinary ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences ; Water Resources
WOS IDWOS:001348518900001
PublisherELSEVIER, RADARWEG 29, 1043 NX AMSTERDAM, NETHERLANDS
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85207352127
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorChen, Sheng
Affiliation1.Key Laboratory of Remote Sensing of Gansu Province, Heihe Remote Sensing Experimental Research Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, 730000, China
2.Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, 519000, China
3.Key Laboratory of Environment Change and Resources Use in Beibu Gulf (Nanning Normal University), Ministry of Education, School of Geographic Sciences and Planning, Nanning Normal University, Nanning, 530001, China
4.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macau, 999078, China
5.Guangxi Meteorological Information Center, Nanning, 530022, China
6.Guangxi Institute of Meteorological Sciences, Nanning, 530022, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Deng, Jiafeng,Zhang, Rui,Chen, Sheng,et al. Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of flood resilience in Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration[J]. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 2024, 114, 104905.
APA Deng, Jiafeng., Zhang, Rui., Chen, Sheng., Li, Zhi., Gao, Liang., Li, Yanping., & Wei, Chunxia (2024). Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of flood resilience in Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 114, 104905.
MLA Deng, Jiafeng,et al."Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of flood resilience in Beibu Gulf Urban Agglomeration".International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 114(2024):104905.
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