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A Heterogeneous Graph Convolution Based Method for Short-Term OD Flow Completion and Prediction in a Metro System
Ye, Jiexia1; Zhao, Juanjuan1; Zheng, Furong1; Xu, Chengzhong2
2024-11
Source PublicationIEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
ISSN1524-9050
Volume25Issue:11Pages:15614-15627
Abstract

Short-term OD flow (i.e. the number of passenger traveling between stations) prediction is crucial to traffic management in metro systems. The delayed effect in latest complete OD flow collection and complex spatiotemporal correlations of OD flows in high dimension make it challengeable to predict short-term OD flow. Existing methods need to be improved due to not fully utilizing the real-time passenger mobility data and not sufficiently modeling the implicit correlation of the mobility patterns between stations. In this paper, we propose a Completion based Adaptive Heterogeneous Graph Convolution Spatiotemporal Predictor. The novelty is mainly reflected in two aspects. The first is to model real-time mobility evolution by establishing the implicit correlation between observed OD flows and the prediction target OD flows in high dimension based on a key data-driven insight: the destination distributions of the passengers departing from a station are correlated with other stations sharing similar attributes (e.g. geographical location, region function). The second is to complete the latest incomplete OD flows by estimating the destination distribution of unfinished trips through considering the real-time mobility evolution and the time cost between stations, which is the base of time series prediction and can improve the model's dynamic adaptability. Extensive experiments on two real world metro datasets demonstrate the superiority of our model over other competitors with the biggest model performance improvement being nearly 4%. In addition, the data complete framework we propose can be integrated into other models to improve their performance up to 2.1%.

KeywordOrigin-destination Matrix Prediction Data Completion Metro Spatiotemporal Heterogeneous Graph
DOI10.1109/TITS.2024.3467094
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Transportation
WOS SubjectEngineering, Civil ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic ; Transportation Science & Technology
WOS IDWOS:001336078600001
PublisherIEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85207634809
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Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorZhao, Juanjuan
Affiliation1.Shenzhen Institutes of Advanced Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100045, China
2.State Key Laboratory of IOTSC, Department of Computer Science, University of Macau, Macau, SAR, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Ye, Jiexia,Zhao, Juanjuan,Zheng, Furong,et al. A Heterogeneous Graph Convolution Based Method for Short-Term OD Flow Completion and Prediction in a Metro System[J]. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 2024, 25(11), 15614-15627.
APA Ye, Jiexia., Zhao, Juanjuan., Zheng, Furong., & Xu, Chengzhong (2024). A Heterogeneous Graph Convolution Based Method for Short-Term OD Flow Completion and Prediction in a Metro System. IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems, 25(11), 15614-15627.
MLA Ye, Jiexia,et al."A Heterogeneous Graph Convolution Based Method for Short-Term OD Flow Completion and Prediction in a Metro System".IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems 25.11(2024):15614-15627.
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