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Uncovering Financial Statement Fraud: A Machine Learning Approach With Key Financial Indicators and Real-World Applications
Li, Bixuan1; Yen, Jerome2; Wang, Sheng3
2024-12-30
Source PublicationIEEE Access
ISSN2169-3536
Volume12Pages:194859-194870
Abstract

Financial statement fraud is a serious threat to the stability of the financial market. Therefore, effective detection methods are crucial to prevent significant losses to investors and damage to companies' reputations. This study aims to explore the performance of different machine learning models in identifying financial statement fraud, and to analyze the impact of key financial indicators on the model performance. The study adopts the data of financial statement frauds disclosed by SEC for the period 2016-2019 (disclosed between 2021-2023), selects fifteen financial indicators as features and applies five classification models, including Decision Tree, Logistic Regression, Support Vector Machine, Random Forest, and Extreme Gradient Boosting, for training and testing. To address the issue of data imbalance, the Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) is employed. The results indicate that Extreme Gradient Boosting and SVM outperform other models in financial fraud identification, though SVM shows some risk of overfitting. Random Forest exhibits relatively stable performance. At the financial indicator level, IBD/TIC (Interest-Bearing Debt/Total Invested Capital), QR (Quick Ratio), APTR (Accounts Payable Turnover Ratio), GP (Goodwill Proportion), and GW(Goodwill) have a greater impact on the identification results of most models, reflecting their important roles in identifying financial fraud. This study's contribution focuses on the interpretability of key financial indicators enhances model transparency, providing actionable insights for real-world fraud detection applications. The findings of this study contribute to the development of more effective financial statement fraud detection systems, and provide valuable insights for auditors, financial analysts, and regulators. By integrating model performance with indicator-level analysis, this research bridges theoretical advancements with practical implementation.

KeywordFinancial Statement Fraud Machine Learning Fraud Detection Feature Selection
DOI10.1109/ACCESS.2024.3520249
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaComputer Science ; Engineering ; Telecommunications
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Information Systems ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic ; Telecommunications
WOS IDWOS:001385614200012
PublisherIEEE-INST ELECTRICAL ELECTRONICS ENGINEERS INC, 445 HOES LANE, PISCATAWAY, NJ 08855-4141
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85213003481
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionINSTITUTE OF COLLABORATIVE INNOVATION
DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorWang, Sheng
Affiliation1.Institute of Collaborative Innovation, University of Macau, Macau, China
2.Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macau, China
3.School of Computer Science, University of Bristol, BS8 1UB Bristol, U.K.
First Author AffilicationINSTITUTE OF COLLABORATIVE INNOVATION
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Li, Bixuan,Yen, Jerome,Wang, Sheng. Uncovering Financial Statement Fraud: A Machine Learning Approach With Key Financial Indicators and Real-World Applications[J]. IEEE Access, 2024, 12, 194859-194870.
APA Li, Bixuan., Yen, Jerome., & Wang, Sheng (2024). Uncovering Financial Statement Fraud: A Machine Learning Approach With Key Financial Indicators and Real-World Applications. IEEE Access, 12, 194859-194870.
MLA Li, Bixuan,et al."Uncovering Financial Statement Fraud: A Machine Learning Approach With Key Financial Indicators and Real-World Applications".IEEE Access 12(2024):194859-194870.
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