Residential College | false |
Status | 即將出版Forthcoming |
Robust load feature extraction based secondary VMD novel short-term load demand forecasting framework | |
Zhang, Miao1; Xiao, Guowei1; Lu, Jianhang1; Liu, Yixuan1; Chen, Haotian1; Yang, Ningrui2![]() | |
2025-02-01 | |
Source Publication | Electric Power Systems Research
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ISSN | 0378-7796 |
Volume | 239Pages:111198 |
Abstract | Load forecasting, as a crucial component of the electricity market, plays a significant role in ensuring the secure operation and rational planning of the power grid. However, as the power system becomes increasingly intricate, the demands on load forecasting techniques have escalated. Consequently, to mitigate the errors in short-term load forecasting (STLF) caused by uncertainty factors and to accommodate daily forecasting under abnormal electricity load conditions, this paper proposes a hybrid load forecasting model that combines an improved Secondary Variational Mode Decomposition (SVMD) algorithm with the Informer model. Employing electricity load data from the Panama context, the data is divided into four distinct experimental cases. The outcomes manifest that in contrast to the baseline model, the proposed approach engenders a minimal reduction of 15.08%, 12.95%, and 13.21% in Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), respectively. Furthermore, supplementary experimental results demonstrate that the model exhibits strong robustness. |
Keyword | Abnormal Daily Load Forecasting Informer Secondary Variational Mode Decomposition Short-term Load Forecasting |
DOI | 10.1016/j.epsr.2024.111198 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Engineering |
WOS Subject | Engineering, Electrical & Electronic |
WOS ID | WOS:001354760400001 |
Publisher | ELSEVIER SCIENCE SAPO BOX 564, 1001 LAUSANNE, SWITZERLAND |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85208183082 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU) |
Corresponding Author | Yang, Ningrui |
Affiliation | 1.Faculty of Automation, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510006, China 2.The State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, University of Macau, 999078, Macao |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Zhang, Miao,Xiao, Guowei,Lu, Jianhang,et al. Robust load feature extraction based secondary VMD novel short-term load demand forecasting framework[J]. Electric Power Systems Research, 2025, 239, 111198. |
APA | Zhang, Miao., Xiao, Guowei., Lu, Jianhang., Liu, Yixuan., Chen, Haotian., & Yang, Ningrui (2025). Robust load feature extraction based secondary VMD novel short-term load demand forecasting framework. Electric Power Systems Research, 239, 111198. |
MLA | Zhang, Miao,et al."Robust load feature extraction based secondary VMD novel short-term load demand forecasting framework".Electric Power Systems Research 239(2025):111198. |
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