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理解单独二胎人口政策:为了未来人口发展的平衡
李涌平1; 蔡天骥2
2014
Source PublicationPopulation and Development
ISSN1674-1668
Volume20Issue:6Pages:104-109
Abstract

我国人口问题现状是一方面要求人口总量少,另一方面要求人口结构好,近期人口主要矛盾从过去强调的数量到现在强调的结构进行调整,单独二胎生育政策是这种调整的具体体现.给出了近期人口数据变化和远期人口抚养系数变化.未来人口负担比的下降确实对人口结构调整有好处,但是中国未来多增加人口的不利之处也必须清楚.提出了应该设定最高人口红线为16亿的设想.  

Keyword单独生育政策 人口总量 人口老化 人口红线 抚养系数
DOI10.3969/j.issn.1674-1668.2014.06.013
Language中文Chinese
EI Classification NumberC923
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Social Sciences
DEPARTMENT OF SOCIOLOGY
Affiliation1.北京大学人口研究所,北京,100871
2.澳门大学社会学系,中国澳门
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
李涌平,蔡天骥. 理解单独二胎人口政策:为了未来人口发展的平衡[J]. Population and Development, 2014, 20(6), 104-109.
APA 李涌平., & 蔡天骥 (2014). 理解单独二胎人口政策:为了未来人口发展的平衡. Population and Development, 20(6), 104-109.
MLA 李涌平,et al."理解单独二胎人口政策:为了未来人口发展的平衡".Population and Development 20.6(2014):104-109.
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