UM  > Faculty of Business Administration
Residential Collegefalse
Status已發表Published
Momentum and House Price Growth in the United States: Anatomy of a Bubble
Rose N. Lai1; Robert A. Van Order2
2010-10-05
Source PublicationREAL ESTATE ECONOMICS
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN1080-8620
Volume38Issue:4Pages:753-773
Abstract

This article analyzes the bubble in property values across cities in the United States from 1999 through 2005. We find evidence of momentum in house price growth (relative to growth in rents) away from the underlying fundamentals throughout the 1980–2005 period; however, momentum increased after 1999. We find that the bubble happened mostly after 2003; it was for a relatively short period and was characterized by a series of positive, seemingly random, shocks that were associated with the surge in the subprime market and the decline in short‐term interest rates. Before that price changes were reasonably well explained by the fundamentals, particularly the decline in long‐term interest rates in the early part of the bubble period. We do not find evidence of a tendency for prices relative to rents to revert to a long‐run trend.

KeywordMarket Fundamentals Exchange Dynamics Regime
DOI10.1111/j.1540-6229.2010.00282.x
Indexed BySSCI
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics ; Urban Studies
WOS SubjectBusiness, Finance ; Economics ; Urban Studies
WOS IDWOS:000284431200006
PublisherWILEY-BLACKWELL, 111 RIVER ST, HOBOKEN 07030-5774, NJ USA
Scopus ID2-s2.0-78649510672
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
Affiliation1.Department of Finance and Business Economics, University of Macau, Macau, China
2.George Washington University, Washington, DC 20052 and the University of Ab-erdeen, Old Aberdeen, AB24 3QY, U.K.
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Rose N. Lai,Robert A. Van Order. Momentum and House Price Growth in the United States: Anatomy of a Bubble[J]. REAL ESTATE ECONOMICS, 2010, 38(4), 753-773.
APA Rose N. Lai., & Robert A. Van Order (2010). Momentum and House Price Growth in the United States: Anatomy of a Bubble. REAL ESTATE ECONOMICS, 38(4), 753-773.
MLA Rose N. Lai,et al."Momentum and House Price Growth in the United States: Anatomy of a Bubble".REAL ESTATE ECONOMICS 38.4(2010):753-773.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Rose N. Lai]'s Articles
[Robert A. Van Order]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Rose N. Lai]'s Articles
[Robert A. Van Order]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Rose N. Lai]'s Articles
[Robert A. Van Order]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.