Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Multiple Change-point Model | |
Ko, Stanley I. M.1; Chong, Terence T. L.2; Ghosh, Pulak3 | |
2015 | |
Source Publication | Bayesian Analysis |
ISSN | 1931-6690 |
Volume | 10Issue:2Pages:275–296 |
Abstract | This paper proposes a new Bayesian multiple change-point model which is based on the hidden Markov approach. The Dirichlet process hidden Markov model does not require the specification of the number of change-points a priori. Hence our model is robust to model specification in contrast to the fully parametric Bayesian model. We propose a general Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm which only needs to sample the states around change-points. Simulations for a normal mean-shift model with known and unknown variance demonstrate advantages of our approach. Two applications, namely the coal-mining disaster data and the real United States Gross Domestic Product growth, are provided. We detect a single change-point for both the disaster data and US GDP growth. All the change-point locations and posterior inferences of the two applications are in line with existing methods. |
Keyword | Nonparametric Bayesian Change-point Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Model Markov Chain Monte Carlo |
DOI | 10.1214/14-BA910 |
Indexed By | SSCI |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Mathematics |
WOS Subject | Mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications ; Statistics & Probability |
WOS ID | WOS:000358997900002 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-84924863345 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Finance and Business Economics, University of Macau, Macau 2.Department of Economics and Institute of Global Economics and Finance, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, and Department of International Economics and Trade, Nanjing University, China 3.Department of Quantitative Methods & Information Systems, Indian Institute of Management at Bangalore, India |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Ko, Stanley I. M.,Chong, Terence T. L.,Ghosh, Pulak. Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Multiple Change-point Model[J]. Bayesian Analysis, 2015, 10(2), 275–296. |
APA | Ko, Stanley I. M.., Chong, Terence T. L.., & Ghosh, Pulak (2015). Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Multiple Change-point Model. Bayesian Analysis, 10(2), 275–296. |
MLA | Ko, Stanley I. M.,et al."Dirichlet Process Hidden Markov Multiple Change-point Model".Bayesian Analysis 10.2(2015):275–296. |
Files in This Item: | There are no files associated with this item. |
Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.
Edit Comment