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A Standardized Scan Statistic for Detecting Spatial Clusters with Estimated Parameters
Lianjie Shu1; Wei Jiang2; Kwok‐Leung Tsui3
2012-07-24
Source PublicationNaval Research Logistics
ABS Journal Level3
ISSN0894-069X
Volume59Pages:397-410
Abstract

The scan statistic based on likelihood ratios (LRs) have been widely discussed for detecting spatial clusters. When developing the scan statistic, it uses the maximum likelihood estimates of the incidence rates inside and outside candidate clusters to substitute the true values in the LR statistic. However, the parameter estimation has a significant impact on the sensitivity of the scan statistic, which favors the detection of clusters in areas with large population sizes. By presenting the effects of parameter estimation on Kulldorff's scan statistic, we suggest a standardized scan statistic for spatial cluster detection. Compared to the traditional scan statistic, the standardized scan statistic can account for the varying mean and variance of the LR statistic due to inhomogeneous background population sizes. Extensive simulations have been performed to compare the power of the two cluster detection methods with known or/and estimated parameters. The simulation results show that the standardization can help alleviate the effects of parameter estimation and improve the detection of localized clusters.

KeywordChange Point Detection Misidentification Public Health Surveillance Inhomogeneous Poisson Distribution Kl Divergence
DOI10.1002/nav.21493
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaOperations Research & Management Science
WOS SubjectOperations Research & Management Science
WOS IDWOS:000307109500001
Scopus ID2-s2.0-84864669400
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT
Corresponding AuthorWei Jiang
Affiliation1.Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Taipa, Macau
2.Antai College of Economics and Management, Shanghai Jiaotong University, Shanghai, China
3.Department of Manufacturing Engineering & Engineering Management, City University of Hong Kong, Kowloon, Hong Kong
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Lianjie Shu,Wei Jiang,Kwok‐Leung Tsui. A Standardized Scan Statistic for Detecting Spatial Clusters with Estimated Parameters[J]. Naval Research Logistics, 2012, 59, 397-410.
APA Lianjie Shu., Wei Jiang., & Kwok‐Leung Tsui (2012). A Standardized Scan Statistic for Detecting Spatial Clusters with Estimated Parameters. Naval Research Logistics, 59, 397-410.
MLA Lianjie Shu,et al."A Standardized Scan Statistic for Detecting Spatial Clusters with Estimated Parameters".Naval Research Logistics 59(2012):397-410.
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