Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
An ICA-MDN Based Multi-stage Model for portfolio Value-at-Risk Analysis | |
Xiaoliang Che1; Kin Keung Lai1; Jerome Yen2 | |
2010 | |
Conference Name | 2010 Third International Conference on Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering |
Source Publication | Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering |
Conference Date | 13-15 Aug. 2010 |
Conference Place | Hong Kong, China |
Abstract | For portfolio value-at-risk analysis, a novel approach is proposed based on Independent Component Analysis (ICA) and Mixture Density Network (MDN). Specifically, the original data is first transformed into separate signals which are independent from each other through ICA. Then using MDN their conditional density functions are fitted, from which the joint distribution function of the multivariate time series could be derived. Finally VaR estimates are calculated based on Monte Carlo simulation. This method successfully circumvents the difficult correlation issue within multivariate time analysis and it achieves superior performance compared to traditional EWMA and MVGARCH techniques in empirical study. |
Keyword | Portfolio Var Monte Carlo Mdn Ica |
DOI | 10.1109/BIFE.2010.59 |
Language | 英語English |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-78650184939 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Conference paper |
Collection | Faculty of Business Administration Faculty of Science and Technology DEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING AND INFORMATION MANAGEMENT |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Management SciencesCity University of Hong KongKowloon, Hong Kong 2.Department of Finance and EconomicsTung Wah CollegeKowloon, Hong Kon |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Xiaoliang Che,Kin Keung Lai,Jerome Yen. An ICA-MDN Based Multi-stage Model for portfolio Value-at-Risk Analysis[C], 2010. |
APA | Xiaoliang Che., Kin Keung Lai., & Jerome Yen (2010). An ICA-MDN Based Multi-stage Model for portfolio Value-at-Risk Analysis. Proceedings of the Third International Conference on Business Intelligence and Financial Engineering. |
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