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Prediction of daily averaged PM10 concentrations by statistical time-varying model
K.I. Hoi; K.V. Yuen; K.M. Mok
2009-02-06
Source PublicationAtmospheric Environment
ISSN1352-2310
Volume43Issue:16Pages:2579-2581
Abstract

In this study, a time-varying statistical model, TVAREX, was proposed for daily averaged PM10 concentrations forecasting of coastal cities. It is a Kalman filter based autoregressive model with exogenous inputs depending on selected meteorological properties on the day of prediction. The TVAREX model was evaluated and compared to an ANN model, trained with the Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation algorithm subjected to the same set of inputs. It was found that the error statistics of the TVAREX model in general were comparable to those of the ANN model, but the TVAREX model was more efficient in capturing the PM10 pollution episodes due to its online nature, therefore having an appealing advantage for implementation. 

KeywordAir Quality Prediction Artificial Neural Network Kalman Filter Coastal City Macau Pm10
DOI10.1016/j.atmosenv.2009.02.020
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000266273300008
PublisherPERGAMON-ELSEVIER SCIENCE LTD, THE BOULEVARD, LANGFORD LANE, KIDLINGTON, OXFORD OX5 1GB, ENGLAND
The Source to ArticleScopus
Scopus ID2-s2.0-64549146639
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF CIVIL AND ENVIRONMENTAL ENGINEERING
Faculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding AuthorK.V. Yuen; K.M. Mok
AffiliationDepartment of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Av. Padre Toma´s Pereira Taipa, Macau SAR, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
K.I. Hoi,K.V. Yuen,K.M. Mok. Prediction of daily averaged PM10 concentrations by statistical time-varying model[J]. Atmospheric Environment, 2009, 43(16), 2579-2581.
APA K.I. Hoi., K.V. Yuen., & K.M. Mok (2009). Prediction of daily averaged PM10 concentrations by statistical time-varying model. Atmospheric Environment, 43(16), 2579-2581.
MLA K.I. Hoi,et al."Prediction of daily averaged PM10 concentrations by statistical time-varying model".Atmospheric Environment 43.16(2009):2579-2581.
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