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Short-term wind speed time series forecasting based on a hybrid method with multiple objective optimization for non-convex target
Dong, Yunxuan1; Wang, Jing2; Xiao, Ling3; Fu, Tonglin4,5,6
2021-01-15
Source PublicationEnergy
ISSN0360-5442
Volume215Pages:119180
Abstract

Accurate and reliable wind speed forecasting (WSF) is crucial for wind power systems. As one of the effective forecast methods, machine learning (ML) methods are employed for wind speed time series forecasting because the excellent ability in fitting the relationship between data and cost function. However, the cost functions with non-convexity make the whole problem poor interpretability and poor robustness. In this paper, a novel hybrid supervised approach is proposed to solve the above problems. The proposed approach has adopted local convolutional neural networks (LCNNs) for convexity preserving of the cost function, in this way, a non-convex problem can be transformed as a convex problem so that heuristic optimization algorithms is adopted to find optimal parameters, and it helps to construct a more stable model. Highway Gate (HG) algorithm is adopted to decrease the computation complexity of the proposed model. The numerical simulation results indicate that the proposed method is not only effective for solving convergence problem cost by non-convexity, but also beneficial to improve accuracy and stability of the traditional ML for wind speed time series forecasting.

KeywordConvolutional Neural Networks Hybrid Forecast Approach Optimization Algorithm Wind Speed Forecasting
DOI10.1016/j.energy.2020.119180
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaThermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS SubjectThermodynamics ; Energy & Fuels
WOS IDWOS:000596834000005
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85096215928
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF ELECTRICAL AND COMPUTER ENGINEERING
Corresponding AuthorXiao, Ling
Affiliation1.Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, University of Macau, Macao, China
2.School of Law, Lanzhou University of Technology, Lanzhou, 730050, China
3.School of Economics and Management, Chongqing University of Posts and Telecommunications, Chongqing, 400065, China
4.School of Mathematics & Statistics, LongDong University, Qingyang, China
5.Shapotou Desert Research and Experiment Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, 730000, China
6.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Dong, Yunxuan,Wang, Jing,Xiao, Ling,et al. Short-term wind speed time series forecasting based on a hybrid method with multiple objective optimization for non-convex target[J]. Energy, 2021, 215, 119180.
APA Dong, Yunxuan., Wang, Jing., Xiao, Ling., & Fu, Tonglin (2021). Short-term wind speed time series forecasting based on a hybrid method with multiple objective optimization for non-convex target. Energy, 215, 119180.
MLA Dong, Yunxuan,et al."Short-term wind speed time series forecasting based on a hybrid method with multiple objective optimization for non-convex target".Energy 215(2021):119180.
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