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Credit default swap spreads: market conditions, firm performance, and the impact of the 2007–2009 financial crisis
Fu, Xiaoqing1; Li, Matthew C.2; Molyneux, Philip3
2021-05-01
Source PublicationEmpirical Economics
ABS Journal Level2
ISSN0377-7332
Volume60Issue:5Pages:2203-2225
Abstract

We employ a multi-factor analysis from both a firm-specific (microeconomic) and market-specific (macroeconomic) perspective to examine the determinants of credit default swap (CDS) spreads in the USA, the UK and Japan between 2005 and 2012. We investigate both aggregate (cross-country) and individual market data so that a comparative analysis can be performed. Our results reveal that (i) in general, Tobin’s Q, stock market returns, and the risk-free interest rate possess significant explanatory power for CDS spreads; (ii) the relationship identified is found to exist in all three markets with varying strength; (iii) despite the added information flow, the 2007–2009 financial crisis did not shorten the persistence (adjustment speed) of CDS spreads to variations in our explanatory variables; and (iv) degree of firm leverage appears to have a significant influence on CDS spreads. These results are robust to various model specifications. Synthesizing our overall results, we maintain that to reap the benefits of using CDSs as a risk management tool, greater attention should be devoted to supporting a stable market (economic and financial) environment. This paper contributes to elucidate how firm performance and macroeconomic conditions play a significant role in explaining CDS spreads.

KeywordCredit Default Swap Spread Financial Crisis Firm Performance Macroeconomic Conditions Structural Models
DOI10.1007/s00181-020-01852-0
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences
WOS SubjectEconomics ; Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods
WOS IDWOS:000563158500001
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85081932816
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorLi, Matthew C.
Affiliation1.Faculty of Business Administration, University of Macau, Taipa, Macau, E22 Avenida da Universidade, China
2.School of Business and Management, Royal Holloway University of London, Egham, Surrey, TW20 0EX, United Kingdom
3.College of Business Administration, University of Sharjah, Sharjah, United Arab Emirates
First Author AffilicationFaculty of Business Administration
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Fu, Xiaoqing,Li, Matthew C.,Molyneux, Philip. Credit default swap spreads: market conditions, firm performance, and the impact of the 2007–2009 financial crisis[J]. Empirical Economics, 2021, 60(5), 2203-2225.
APA Fu, Xiaoqing., Li, Matthew C.., & Molyneux, Philip (2021). Credit default swap spreads: market conditions, firm performance, and the impact of the 2007–2009 financial crisis. Empirical Economics, 60(5), 2203-2225.
MLA Fu, Xiaoqing,et al."Credit default swap spreads: market conditions, firm performance, and the impact of the 2007–2009 financial crisis".Empirical Economics 60.5(2021):2203-2225.
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