Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Modelling dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 spread for pandemic forecasting based on Simulink | |
Liu, Xian Xian1; Hu, Shimin1; Fong, Simon James1; Crespo, Rubén González2; Herrera-Viedma, Enrique3 | |
2021-05-28 | |
Source Publication | Physical Biology |
ISSN | 1478-3967 |
Volume | 18Issue:4Pages:045003 |
Abstract | In this paper, we demonstrate the application of MATLAB to develop a pandemic prediction system based on Simulink. The susceptible-exposed-asymptomatic but infectious-symptomatic and infectious (severe infected population + mild infected population)-recovered-deceased (SEAI(I 1 + I 2)RD) physical model for unsupervised learning and two types of supervised learning, namely, fuzzy proportional-integral-derivative (PID) and wavelet neural-network PID learning, are used to build a predictive-control system model that enables self-learning artificial intelligence (AI)-based control. After parameter setting, the data entering the model are predicted, and the value of the data set at a future moment is calculated. PID controllers are added to ensure that the system does not diverge at the beginning of iterative learning. To adapt to complex system conditions and afford excellent control, a wavelet neural-network PID control strategy is developed that can be adjusted and corrected in real time, according to the output error. |
Keyword | Novel Coronavirus Asymptomatic Cases Process Simulation Epidemiology Seaird Simulink |
DOI | 10.1088/1478-3975/abf990 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Language | 英語English |
WOS Research Area | Biochemistry & Molecular Biology ; Biophysics |
WOS Subject | Biochemistry & Molecular Biology ; Biophysics |
WOS ID | WOS:000655580400001 |
Publisher | IOP Publishing Ltd |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85107163533 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE Faculty of Science and Technology |
Corresponding Author | Fong, Simon James |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Macao 2.Computer Science and Technology Department, Universidad Internacional de la Rioja, Logrono, La Rioja, Spain 3.University of Granada, Spain |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Corresponding Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Liu, Xian Xian,Hu, Shimin,Fong, Simon James,et al. Modelling dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 spread for pandemic forecasting based on Simulink[J]. Physical Biology, 2021, 18(4), 045003. |
APA | Liu, Xian Xian., Hu, Shimin., Fong, Simon James., Crespo, Rubén González., & Herrera-Viedma, Enrique (2021). Modelling dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 spread for pandemic forecasting based on Simulink. Physical Biology, 18(4), 045003. |
MLA | Liu, Xian Xian,et al."Modelling dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 spread for pandemic forecasting based on Simulink".Physical Biology 18.4(2021):045003. |
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