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Modelling dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 spread for pandemic forecasting based on Simulink
Liu, Xian Xian1; Hu, Shimin1; Fong, Simon James1; Crespo, Rubén González2; Herrera-Viedma, Enrique3
2021-05-28
Source PublicationPhysical Biology
ISSN1478-3967
Volume18Issue:4Pages:045003
Abstract

In this paper, we demonstrate the application of MATLAB to develop a pandemic prediction system based on Simulink. The susceptible-exposed-asymptomatic but infectious-symptomatic and infectious (severe infected population + mild infected population)-recovered-deceased (SEAI(I 1 + I 2)RD) physical model for unsupervised learning and two types of supervised learning, namely, fuzzy proportional-integral-derivative (PID) and wavelet neural-network PID learning, are used to build a predictive-control system model that enables self-learning artificial intelligence (AI)-based control. After parameter setting, the data entering the model are predicted, and the value of the data set at a future moment is calculated. PID controllers are added to ensure that the system does not diverge at the beginning of iterative learning. To adapt to complex system conditions and afford excellent control, a wavelet neural-network PID control strategy is developed that can be adjusted and corrected in real time, according to the output error.

KeywordNovel Coronavirus Asymptomatic Cases Process Simulation Epidemiology Seaird Simulink
DOI10.1088/1478-3975/abf990
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBiochemistry & Molecular Biology ; Biophysics
WOS SubjectBiochemistry & Molecular Biology ; Biophysics
WOS IDWOS:000655580400001
PublisherIOP Publishing Ltd
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85107163533
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Faculty of Science and Technology
Corresponding AuthorFong, Simon James
Affiliation1.Department of Computer and Information Science, University of Macau, Macao
2.Computer Science and Technology Department, Universidad Internacional de la Rioja, Logrono, La Rioja, Spain
3.University of Granada, Spain
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Liu, Xian Xian,Hu, Shimin,Fong, Simon James,et al. Modelling dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 spread for pandemic forecasting based on Simulink[J]. Physical Biology, 2021, 18(4), 045003.
APA Liu, Xian Xian., Hu, Shimin., Fong, Simon James., Crespo, Rubén González., & Herrera-Viedma, Enrique (2021). Modelling dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 spread for pandemic forecasting based on Simulink. Physical Biology, 18(4), 045003.
MLA Liu, Xian Xian,et al."Modelling dynamics of coronavirus disease 2019 spread for pandemic forecasting based on Simulink".Physical Biology 18.4(2021):045003.
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