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On time and frequency-varying Okun’s coefficient: a new approach based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition
Kim, Myeong Jun1; Ko, Stanley I.M.2; Park, Sung Y.3
2020-07-08
Source PublicationEmpirical Economics
ABS Journal Level2
ISSN0377-7332
Volume61Issue:3Pages:1151-1188
Abstract

This study revisits the time-varying Okun’s law, using US data over the period 1948Q2–2015Q3. The estimated Okun’s coefficients are negative over most of the time horizon and the absolute values of the time-varying Okun’s coefficient is getting smaller. The short- and long-term fluctuations of the time-varying Okun’s law are reconstituted using the ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) method, and their determinants are analyzed. The empirical results show that the number of working hours and utilization are important factors affecting the long- and short-term fluctuations of the time-varying Okun’s coefficients. More specifically, the short-term fluctuations of the working hours and utilization have significant positive and negative effects, respectively, on the magnitude of short-term fluctuations of the time-varying Okun’s coefficients. It is also found that the long-term fluctuation of the estimated time-varying Okun’s coefficient has a very similar pattern to the detrended real GDP series. We also show the estimated regression estimates are very stable with respect to the considered EEMD method using a simple simulation.

KeywordDeterminant Of Okun’s Law Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition Okun’s Law Time-varying Coefficient
DOI10.1007/s00181-020-01904-5
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaBusiness & Economics ; Mathematical Methods In Social Sciences
WOS SubjectEconomics ; Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods
WOS IDWOS:000546506200001
PublisherPHYSICA-VERLAG GMBH & COPO BOX 10 52 80, 69042 HEIDELBERG, GERMANY
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85087669486
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Business Administration
DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS
Corresponding AuthorPark, Sung Y.
Affiliation1.School of Economics and Commerce, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou Shi, Guangzhou University Town, China
2.Department of Finance and Business Economics, University of Macau, Taipa, Avenida da Universidade, China
3.School of Economics, Chung-Ang University, Seoul, 84 Heukseok-Ro, Dongjak-Gu, South Korea
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Kim, Myeong Jun,Ko, Stanley I.M.,Park, Sung Y.. On time and frequency-varying Okun’s coefficient: a new approach based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition[J]. Empirical Economics, 2020, 61(3), 1151-1188.
APA Kim, Myeong Jun., Ko, Stanley I.M.., & Park, Sung Y. (2020). On time and frequency-varying Okun’s coefficient: a new approach based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition. Empirical Economics, 61(3), 1151-1188.
MLA Kim, Myeong Jun,et al."On time and frequency-varying Okun’s coefficient: a new approach based on ensemble empirical mode decomposition".Empirical Economics 61.3(2020):1151-1188.
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