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A deep graph-embedded LSTM neural network approach for airport delay prediction
Weili Zeng1; Juan Li1; Zhibin Quan2,3; Xiaobo Lu3
2021
Source PublicationJournal of Advanced Transportation
ISSN0197-6729
Volume2021Pages:6638130
Abstract

Due to the strong propagation causality of delays between airports, this paper proposes a delay prediction model based on a deep graph neural network to study delay prediction from the perspective of an airport network. We regard airports as nodes of a graph network and use a directed graph network to construct airports' relationship. For adjacent airports, weights of edges are measured by the spherical distance between them, while the number of flight pairs between them is utilized for airports connected by flights. On this basis, a diffusion convolution kernel is constructed to capture characteristics of delay propagation between airports, and it is further integrated into the sequence-to-sequence LSTM neural network to establish a deep learning framework for delay prediction. We name this model as deep graph-embedded LSTM (DGLSTM). To verify the model's effectiveness and superiority, we utilize the historical delay data of 325 airports in the United States from 2015 to 2018 as the model training set and test set. The experimental results suggest that the proposed method is superior to the existing mainstream methods in terms of accuracy and robustness.

DOI10.1155/2021/6638130
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Transportation
WOS SubjectEngineering, Civil ; Transportation Science & Technology
WOS IDWOS:000637367300002
PublisherWILEY-HINDAWI, ADAM HOUSE, 3RD FL, 1 FITZROY SQ, LONDON WIT 5HE, ENGLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85104382969
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionFaculty of Science and Technology
DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorWeili Zeng
Affiliation1.College of Civil Aviation, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 210016, China
2.Department of Computer and Information Science, Faculty of Science and Technology, University of Macau, Macau, 999078, Macao
3.School of Automation, Southeast University, Nanjing, 210096, China
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Weili Zeng,Juan Li,Zhibin Quan,et al. A deep graph-embedded LSTM neural network approach for airport delay prediction[J]. Journal of Advanced Transportation, 2021, 2021, 6638130.
APA Weili Zeng., Juan Li., Zhibin Quan., & Xiaobo Lu (2021). A deep graph-embedded LSTM neural network approach for airport delay prediction. Journal of Advanced Transportation, 2021, 6638130.
MLA Weili Zeng,et al."A deep graph-embedded LSTM neural network approach for airport delay prediction".Journal of Advanced Transportation 2021(2021):6638130.
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