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Novel hybrid extreme learning machine and multi-objective optimization algorithm for air pollution prediction
Lu Bai1; Zhi Liu1; Jianzhou Wang2
2022-06
Source PublicationApplied Mathematical Modelling
ISSN0307-904X
Volume106Pages:177-198
Abstract

A novel system regarding deterministic and interval predictions of pollutant concentration is constructed in this study, which can not only obtain higher prediction accuracy in deterministic prediction and also provide effective interval prediction of air pollutant concentration. In the deterministic prediction stage, the improved extreme learning machine combines outlier detection and correction algorithm, data decomposition strategy, and a multi-objective optimization algorithm to form a hybrid model for predicting pollutant concentration. Moreover, the applicability of the optimization algorithm was verified from theoretical and experimental analysis. In the interval prediction stage, three distributions are compared to mine, the traits of deterministic prediction errors are analyzed, and interval prediction is designed to quantify the uncertainties associated with pollutant concentration. To investigate the prediction performance of the proposed system, comparison experiments have been executed using the PM concentration series from three cities. The results indicate that the system proposed in this paper outperforms comparison models in forecasting accuracy and has advantages for pollution prediction.

KeywordData Decomposition Deterministic And Interval Predictions Hybrid Prediction Model Improved Extreme Learning Machine Mathematical Modelling Multi-objective Optimization Approach
DOI10.1016/j.apm.2022.01.023
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEngineering ; Mathematics ; Mechanics
WOS SubjectEngineering, Multidisciplinary;mathematics, Interdisciplinary Applications;mechanics
WOS IDWOS:000795858500001
PublisherELSEVIER SCIENCE INC, STE 800, 230 PARK AVE, NEW YORK, NY 10169
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85126046432
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF MATHEMATICS
Corresponding AuthorZhi Liu
Affiliation1.Department of Mathematics, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao, China
2.Institute of Systems Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa, Macao, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Corresponding Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Lu Bai,Zhi Liu,Jianzhou Wang. Novel hybrid extreme learning machine and multi-objective optimization algorithm for air pollution prediction[J]. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 2022, 106, 177-198.
APA Lu Bai., Zhi Liu., & Jianzhou Wang (2022). Novel hybrid extreme learning machine and multi-objective optimization algorithm for air pollution prediction. Applied Mathematical Modelling, 106, 177-198.
MLA Lu Bai,et al."Novel hybrid extreme learning machine and multi-objective optimization algorithm for air pollution prediction".Applied Mathematical Modelling 106(2022):177-198.
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