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Wind speed forecasting based on model selection, fuzzy cluster, and multi-objective algorithm and wind energy simulation by Betz's theory
Shenghui Zhang1; Chen Wang2; Peng Liao3; Ling Xiao4; Tonglin Fu5,6,7
2022-01-15
Source PublicationEXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS
ABS Journal Level1
ISSN0957-4174
Volume193
Abstract

Wind energy is of increasing interest to wind farm administrators as a clean and renewable energy source. Accurate wind speed forecasting and effective wind energy simulation can increase the capability of wind power combined with a grid and decrease the operating cost of wind farms. However, many previous studies have been restricted to wind speed forecasting, ignoring wind energy simulations. Thus, grid management cannot effectively estimate the power production of wind farms and leads to an increase in the abandonment wind rate in wind farms. In this study, a wind farm auxiliary management system is developed, which includes two modules: wind speed forecasting and wind energy simulation. In the wind speed forecasting module, first, a data mining algorithm is used to analyze different features of wind speed time series data in a wind farm. Subsequently, a feature selection algorithm is used to determine the representative wind speed time series of the wind farm, and it is combined with a data preprocessing method to effectively eliminate the noise of the original wind speed time series. Second, six hybrid neural network forecasting models based on a modified multi-objective algorithm are established to forecast wind speed. Finally, they are combined with a model selection strategy to yield the best forecasting value for each time point. In the wind energy simulation module, using Betz's theory, the physical transformation process of a wind turbine is estimated to determine the range of wind power generation.

KeywordBetz's Theory Fuzzy C-means Cluster Model Selection Strategy Modified Multi-objective Algorithm Wind Speed Forecasting
DOI10.1016/j.eswa.2022.116509
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaComputer Science ; Engineering ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS SubjectComputer Science, Artificial Intelligence ; Engineering, Electrical & Electronic ; Operations Research & Management Science
WOS IDWOS:000748635600002
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85122989202
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionUniversity of Macau
Faculty of Science and Technology
THE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
DEPARTMENT OF COMPUTER AND INFORMATION SCIENCE
Corresponding AuthorChen Wang
Affiliation1.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City and Department of Computer and Information Science Organization, University of Macau, Macao, 999078, China
2.School of Intelligent System Engineering, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, 510006, China
3.School of Mathematics and Statistics, Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, 730000, China
4.School of Methematics and Statistics, Xuzhou University of Technology, Xuzhou, 221018, China
5.School of Mathematics and Statistics, LongDong University, Qingyang, 745000, China
6.Shapotou Desert Research and Experiment Station, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, 730000, China
7.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
First Author AffilicationUniversity of Macau
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Shenghui Zhang,Chen Wang,Peng Liao,et al. Wind speed forecasting based on model selection, fuzzy cluster, and multi-objective algorithm and wind energy simulation by Betz's theory[J]. EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 2022, 193.
APA Shenghui Zhang., Chen Wang., Peng Liao., Ling Xiao., & Tonglin Fu (2022). Wind speed forecasting based on model selection, fuzzy cluster, and multi-objective algorithm and wind energy simulation by Betz's theory. EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS, 193.
MLA Shenghui Zhang,et al."Wind speed forecasting based on model selection, fuzzy cluster, and multi-objective algorithm and wind energy simulation by Betz's theory".EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS 193(2022).
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