Residential College | false |
Status | 已發表Published |
Shadow banking and the property market in china | |
Lai, Rose Neng1![]() | |
2019-09-01 | |
Source Publication | International Real Estate Review
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ISSN | 2154-8919 |
Volume | 22Issue:3Pages:359-398 |
Abstract | This paper studies the evolution of property values and the connections between shadow banking and property markets in China. We use Pooled Mean Group estimation to analyze Chinese house prices in 65 cities from 2007-2016, define the “fundamentals” of housing prices with the Gordon dividend discount model, and use lagged rents, prices, real and nominal interest rates, and shadow banking activity as short term explanatory factors. We find that the cities tend to share long run fundamentals and adjust relatively quickly to deviations from the fundamentals. We do not find bubbles; rather houses are like growth stocks with house prices rapidly chasing growing rents. More importantly, we find that house prices increase more quickly with the availability of shadow banking funds, which have grown rapidly. |
Keyword | Chinese Housing Market Pooled Mean Group Estimation Shadow Banking |
DOI | 10.53383/100285 |
URL | View the original |
Indexed By | SCIE ; SSCI ; A&HCI ; CPCI-S ; CPCI-SSH ; BKCI-S ; BKCI-SSH ; ESCI ; IC ; CCR-E ; KCI ; RSCI ; SciELO ; 核心期刊 ; CA ; JST ; AJ ; EI ; CSCD ; CSSCI ; 卓越期刊 ; TCI-HSS ; THCI ; TSSCI ; 其他 |
Language | 英語English |
WOS ID | WOS:000505221300003 |
Scopus ID | 2-s2.0-85118949978 |
Fulltext Access | |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | Journal article |
Collection | DEPARTMENT OF FINANCE AND BUSINESS ECONOMICS |
Affiliation | 1.Department of Finance and Business Economics, University of Macau, Taipa, Macao 2.George Washington University, Washington, United States |
First Author Affilication | University of Macau |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Lai, Rose Neng,Van Order, Robert. Shadow banking and the property market in china[J]. International Real Estate Review, 2019, 22(3), 359-398. |
APA | Lai, Rose Neng., & Van Order, Robert (2019). Shadow banking and the property market in china. International Real Estate Review, 22(3), 359-398. |
MLA | Lai, Rose Neng,et al."Shadow banking and the property market in china".International Real Estate Review 22.3(2019):359-398. |
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