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Physics-Guided Long Short-Term Memory Network for Streamflow and Flood Simulations in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin
Binxiao Liu1,2; Qiuhong Tang1,2; Gang Zhao3; Liang Gao4; Chaopeng Shen5; Baoxiang Pan6
2022-04-29
Source PublicationWater (Switzerland)
ISSN2073-4441
Volume14Issue:9
Abstract

A warming climate will intensify the water cycle, resulting in an exacerbation of water resources crises and flooding risks in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin (LMRB). The mitigation of these risks requires accurate streamflow and flood simulations. Process-based and data-driven hydrological models are the two major approaches for streamflow simulations, while a hybrid of these two methods promises advantageous prediction accuracy. In this study, we developed a hybrid physics-data (HPD) methodology for streamflow and flood prediction under the physics-guided neural network modeling framework. The HPD methodology leveraged simulation information from a process-based model (i.e., VIC-CaMa-Flood) along with the meteorological forcing information (precipitation, maximum temperature, minimum temperature, and wind speed) to simulate the daily streamflow series and flood events, using a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network. This HPD methodology outperformed the pure process-based VIC-CaMa-Flood model or the pure observational data driven LSTM model by a large margin, suggesting the usefulness of introducing physical regularization in data-driven modeling, and the necessity of observation-informed bias cor-rection for process-based models. We further developed a gradient boosting tree method to measure the information contribution from the process-based model simulation and the meteorological forcing data in our HPD methodology. The results show that the process-based model simulation contributes about 30% to the HPD outcome, outweighing the information contribution from each of the meteorological forcing variables (<20%). Our HPD methodology inherited the physical mechanisms of the process-based model, and the high predictability capability of the LSTM model, offering a novel way for making use of incomplete physical understanding, and insufficient data, to enhance streamflow and flood predictions.

KeywordData-driven Modeling Hydrological Modeling Physics-guided Neural Network (Pgnn)
DOI10.3390/w14091429
URLView the original
Indexed BySCIE
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology ; Water Resources
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences;water Resources
WOS IDWOS:000795274200001
PublisherMDPI, ST ALBAN-ANLAGE 66, CH-4052 BASEL, SWITZERLAND
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85129840044
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Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionTHE STATE KEY LABORATORY OF INTERNET OF THINGS FOR SMART CITY (UNIVERSITY OF MACAU)
Corresponding AuthorQiuhong Tang
Affiliation1.Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
2.University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
3.Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, 94305, United States
4.State Key Laboratory of Internet of Things for Smart City, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Macau, Macao
5.Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pennsylvania State University, State College, 16801, United States
6.Lawrence Livermore National Lab, Atmospheric, Earth and Energy Division, Livermore, 94550, United States
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Binxiao Liu,Qiuhong Tang,Gang Zhao,et al. Physics-Guided Long Short-Term Memory Network for Streamflow and Flood Simulations in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin[J]. Water (Switzerland), 2022, 14(9).
APA Binxiao Liu., Qiuhong Tang., Gang Zhao., Liang Gao., Chaopeng Shen., & Baoxiang Pan (2022). Physics-Guided Long Short-Term Memory Network for Streamflow and Flood Simulations in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin. Water (Switzerland), 14(9).
MLA Binxiao Liu,et al."Physics-Guided Long Short-Term Memory Network for Streamflow and Flood Simulations in the Lancang–Mekong River Basin".Water (Switzerland) 14.9(2022).
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