Residential Collegefalse
Status已發表Published
Prediction of risk: Decoding the Serial Dependence of Stock Return Volatility with Copula
Zhu, Liang1; Lim, Christine2; Zhang, Jianlun2
2021-01
Source PublicationJournal of Hospitality and Tourism Research
ABS Journal Level2
ISSN1096-3480
Volume45Issue:1Pages:6-27
Abstract

In this article, a new approach based on the copula theory is employed in the analysis and forecasting of hospitality and tourism-related stock return volatility (HTSRV). The application of copula-based models for univariate time series is state-of the-art methodologies with new perspectives for economic analysis in tourism and hospitality. This flexible method provides numerous functions for serial dependence specification of volatility series. Eight hospitality–tourism stocks are analyzed for their serial dependence structures to provide insight for forecasting stock return volatility. While the forecasting performance between our chosen copulas and benchmark models is inconclusive, the empirical results show that copulas well specify both linear and nonlinear serial dependence structures, which lead to forecasting results as good as or even better than those of the benchmark models. This property allows us to use copulas for HTSRV forecasting without the concern of model misspecification.

KeywordCopula-based Model Hospitality And Tourism-related Stock Return Volatility Risk Prediction Serial Dependence
DOI10.1177/1096348020919490
URLView the original
Indexed BySSCI
Language英語English
WOS Research AreaSocial Sciences - Other Topics
WOS SubjectHospitality, Leisure, Sport & Tourism
WOS IDWOS:000537803000001
PublisherSAGE PUBLICATIONS INC, 2455 TELLER RD, THOUSAND OAKS, CA 91320
Scopus ID2-s2.0-85085927952
Fulltext Access
Citation statistics
Document TypeJournal article
CollectionDEPARTMENT OF INTEGRATED RESORT AND TOURISM MANAGEMENT
Corresponding AuthorZhu, Liang
Affiliation1.Shenzhen University, China
2.University of Macau, Macao
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Zhu, Liang,Lim, Christine,Zhang, Jianlun. Prediction of risk: Decoding the Serial Dependence of Stock Return Volatility with Copula[J]. Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Research, 2021, 45(1), 6-27.
APA Zhu, Liang., Lim, Christine., & Zhang, Jianlun (2021). Prediction of risk: Decoding the Serial Dependence of Stock Return Volatility with Copula. Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Research, 45(1), 6-27.
MLA Zhu, Liang,et al."Prediction of risk: Decoding the Serial Dependence of Stock Return Volatility with Copula".Journal of Hospitality and Tourism Research 45.1(2021):6-27.
Files in This Item:
There are no files associated with this item.
Related Services
Recommend this item
Bookmark
Usage statistics
Export to Endnote
Google Scholar
Similar articles in Google Scholar
[Zhu, Liang]'s Articles
[Lim, Christine]'s Articles
[Zhang, Jianlun]'s Articles
Baidu academic
Similar articles in Baidu academic
[Zhu, Liang]'s Articles
[Lim, Christine]'s Articles
[Zhang, Jianlun]'s Articles
Bing Scholar
Similar articles in Bing Scholar
[Zhu, Liang]'s Articles
[Lim, Christine]'s Articles
[Zhang, Jianlun]'s Articles
Terms of Use
No data!
Social Bookmark/Share
All comments (0)
No comment.
 

Items in the repository are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.